Thursday, July 1, 2010

7/2 Almanac

On Friday, July 2: Employment, and a three-day weekend for the Glorious 4th.

There are 15 days before the July options expire, 50 the August and 78 the September.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, trading calendar and a good book...


Stats

Blue chip stocks (SPY) closed the latest regular session down 0.5% from the prior close. During the day SPY traversed 2.3% high to low in a net move down of 0.4%.

Friday's extremes: Open $103.15, high $104.49, low $101.13, close $102.76.

SPY closed within the DeMark pivots after trading below them. The next DeMark pivots are $100.77-$103.13.

In total, 4.2 billion shares were traded on the three major U.S. stock exchanges, 18.8% more than on the prior trading day.

SPY at a glance:

trendadxpsarppsmacdmacd
trend
stosto
trend
SPY $102.76

Econ reports:

The monthly unemployment report will be released at 8:30 a.m. Eastern. Lesser econ reports during the week have suggested that the recovery is faltering, flagging and falling into the funk. So with Monday being a market holiday, this report is a Very Big Deal that will impact the markets.

Factory orders at 10 a.m., but not a big deal, except to the extent that they confirm other negative reports.


Trading Calendar:

By my rules, at this point in the cycle I can trade August vertical spreads, September single calls or puts, and shares.

Good trading!


The Great Reflation: How Investors Can Profit From the New World of Money
OK. The credit bubble burst. Housing, burst. Shockwaves reverberated. Markets collapsed. What lies ahead as we remerge from the wreckage.



Abbreviations:

  • psar - Parabolic Stop and Reverse
  • adx - Average Directional Index
  • pps - Person's Proprietary Signal
  • ma20 - 20-day moving average
  • macd - Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
  • sto - Fast Stochastic


About the glance: The colors indicate the state of each signal.

  • trend: Determined by the 5-day moving average, green for up, red for down, yellow for sideways
  • adx: orange for above 30-up, blue for 20-down, purple for in the middle. Red is most prone to whipsaws
  • psar, pps, macd: green for bull mode, red for bear
  • sto: green for overbought, red for oversold, yellow for the neutral zone.

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