Wednesday, July 7, 2010

7/8 Almanac

On Thursday, July 8: Jobless claims, oil and natural gas inventories.

There are 9 days before the July options expire, 44 the August and 72 the September.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, trading calendar and a good book...


Stats

Blue chip stocks (SPY) closed the latest regular session up 3.2% from the prior close. During the day SPY traversed 3.1% low to high in a net move up of 2.9%.

Friday's extremes: Open $103.13, high $106.11, low $103.02, close $106.11.

SPY closed above the DeMark pivots. The next DeMark pivots are $104.57-$107.79.

In total, 3.5 billion shares were traded on the three major U.S. stock exchanges, 28.6% more than on the prior trading day.

SPY at a glance:

trendadxpsarppsmacdmacd
trend
stosto
trend
SPY $102.76

Econ reports:

The big potential market mover is weekly jobless claims, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time.

Energy-sector movers: Natural gas inventories at 10:30 a.m., and petroleum at 11 a.m.

Minor league: Consumer credit at 3 p.m., and two from the Fed: It's balance sheet and the nation's money supply, both at 4:30 p.m.


Trading Calendar:

By my rules, at this point in the cycle I can trade August calendar and vertical spreads, September single calls or puts, and shares.

Good trading!


The Great Reflation: How Investors Can Profit From the New World of Money
OK. The credit bubble burst. Housing, burst. Shockwaves reverberated. Markets collapsed. What lies ahead as we remerge from the wreckage.



Abbreviations:

  • psar - Parabolic Stop and Reverse
  • adx - Average Directional Index
  • pps - Person's Proprietary Signal
  • ma20 - 20-day moving average
  • macd - Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
  • sto - Fast Stochastic


About the glance: The colors indicate the state of each signal.

  • trend: Determined by the 5-day moving average, green for up, red for down, yellow for sideways
  • adx: orange for above 30-up, blue for 20-down, purple for in the middle. Red is most prone to whipsaws
  • psar, pps, macd: green for bull mode, red for bear
  • sto: green for overbought, red for oversold, yellow for the neutral zone.

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