Notes on this morning’s forex...
Sharp moves this morning across the board on a coordinated rate cut aimed at injecting liquidity into markets strained by efforts to keep the Eurozone intact.
It was a classic black-swan for chartists that no doubt stopped many a position, although fundamentalists may have seen it coming all along.
The moves were insufficient to force any pair beyond its price channel on the weekly charts, although EUR/AUD, EUR/CAD, GBP/AUD and GBP/CAD broke below their 20-day minimums.
NZD/USD, whose complex channel structure I’ve noted below in the Notes section, returned to its uptrending channel after dipping below the channel floor two days prior and remains within its downtrending channel.
On the weekly charts...
|Dec 15, 2010
|July 12, 2010
|Aug. 3, 2009
|July 25, 2011
|June 1, 2009
NZD/USD is in a complex move: A downtrending channel from Aug. 1 within an uptrending channel that began May 11, 2009 or earlier. For this ongoing study, I’ll track the more recent trend in the table above and note changes in the longer uptrending channel here in the notes.
I’ve excluded high-volume pairs including CHF because of the Swiss government’s active intervention in the markets to keep the currency from rising. I’ll pick the CHF pairs up again if the policy changes.
I’ve retained the JPY pairs as Japan’s interventions appear to be less consistent than those of the Swiss.
About my trading methods
A discussion of my strategy for trading forex.
Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the analysis and trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.
No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decision decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.
The trader’s greatest sin is inaction. Sleeper, awake! Seize the Nietzchean moment. Roll out of bed and trade.