11/22 Indicators

The markets this morning...

I’ve changed the channel tracking -- the descriptions positioning each indicator that appear under each table -- to a weekly chart. This gives a longer-term picture that, I think, will elminate much of the ambiguity that has been showing on the daily chart. The dates given are the end of the week in which events occurred.

Stocks

sym	phase	trend	adx		200/50	40/10
SPY
QQQ
VIX

SPY (S&P 500) is trading within a downtrending channel that began May 2.

QQQ (Nasdaq 100) is within a sideways channel that began Aug. 8.

VIX (fear index) is trading within a sideways channel that began Aug. 9.

Bonds

sym	phase	trend	adx		200/50	40/10
TLT
JNK

TLT (Treasury long-term debt) is trading above a downtrending channel that began Oct. 4.

JNK (corporate high-yield debt) is trading within a downtrending channel that began July 18.

Tangibles

sym	phase	trend	adx		200/50	40/10
USO
GLD
JJC

USO (crude oil) is trading within a downtrending channel that began May 2.

GLD (gold) is trading within a downtrending channel that began Sept. 5.

JJC (copper) is trading within a declining channel beginning Aug. 1.

Global

sym	phase	trend	adx		200/50	40/10
UUP
EEM

UUP (U.S. dollar) is trading within an uptrending channel that began June 7.

EEM (emerging markets) is trading within a downtrending channel from May 2.

Indicator Exchange-Traded Fund Symbols:
EEM - emerging markets
GLD - gold, a counter-directional proxy for inflation fears.
JJC - copper, a proxy for industrial actrivity.
JNK - high-yield corporate bonds
QQQQ - Nasdaq 100 index
SPY - S&P 500 index
TLT - Treasury long-term bonds
USO - crude oil
UUP - U.S. dollar index, against a basket of currencies; largely a dollar-euro proxy
VIX - fear index, implied volatility of the S&P 500

Key

• phase: 20-day price channel phase, with green for bull trend, red for bear trend and yellow for neutral trend.
• trend: Price direction, green for higher highs and higher lows, red for lower highs and lower lows, yellow for sideways, and grey for neutral or ambiguous.
• adx: Average directional index location, indicating the strength, or the temperature, of the trend. Orange for 40 or greater, aqua (light blue) for 25 and up but below 40, magenta (light purple) for 20 and up but below 25, and brown for anything below 20. (Mnemonic: Orange for the overhead sun, blue for the surrounding sky, magenta for sunset on the horizon and brown for the earth.)
• 200/50: The moving average cross, green for the 50-day ma above the 200, red for below and yellow for closely aligned.
• 40/10: The moving average cross, green for the 10-day ma above the 40, red for below and yellow for closely aligned.

About my trading methods

Read a detailed explanation of my analysis method, including trading rules.

Disclaimer

Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the analysis and trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.

No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decision decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.

The trader’s greatest sin is inaction. Sleeper, awake! Seize the Nietzchean moment. Roll out of bed and trade.