Thursday, October 27, 2011

10/27 Indicators

The markets this morning...

Stocks

sym phase trend adx   200/50 40/10
SPY    
 
     
QQQ    
 
     
VIX    
 
     

SPY (S&P 500) gapped sharply above its 20-day high and the ceiling of a sideways trading range in effect since Aug. 9.

QQQ (Nasdaq 100) broke above its 20-day high as it remains with an uptrending channel that began Aug. 9.

VIX (fear index) remains at the floor of a sideways channel that began Aug. 9 after several attempts to break below in recent days.

Bonds

sym phase trend adx   200/50 40/10
TLT    
 
     
JNK    
 
     

TLT (Treasury long-term debt) gapped below its 20-day low.

JNK (corporate high-yield debt) remains within an uptrending price channel that began Oct. 14. The price broke above its 20-day high but quickly retreated.

Tangibles

sym phase trend adx   200/50 40/10
USO    
 
     
GLD    
 
     
JJC    
 
     

USO (crude oil) has stalled following a break above the downtrending channel that was been in force from May 2 to Oct. 14.

GLD (gold) is trading within a narrow rising channel in force from Oct. 20.

JJC (copper) gapped up for the second day in a row in a rising trend that began Oct. 21.

Global

sym phase trend adx   200/50 40/10
UUP    
 
     
EEM    
 
     

UUP (U.S. dollar) gapped sharply to the downside and remains within a downtrend that began on Oct. 4.

EEM (emerging markets) gapped sharply above its 20-day high in an uptrend that began Oct. 4.

Indicator Exchange-Traded Fund Symbols:
EEM - emerging markets
GLD - gold, a counter-directional proxy for inflation fears.
JNK - high-yield corporate bonds
QQQQ - Nasdaq 100 index
SPY - S&P 500 index
TLT - Treasury long-term bonds
USO - crude oil
UUP - U.S. dollar index, against a basket of currencies; largely a dollar-euro proxy
VIX - fear index, implied volatility of the S&P 500

Key

  • phase: 20-day price channel phase, with green for bull trend, red for bear trend and yellow for neutral trend.
  • trend: Price direction, green for higher highs and higher lows, red for lower highs and lower lows, yellow for sideways, and grey for neutral or ambiguous.
  • adx: Average directional index location, indicating the strength, or the temperature, of the trend. Orange for 40 or greater, aqua (light blue) for 25 and up but below 40, magenta (light purple) for 20 and up but below 25, and brown for anything below 20. (Mnemonic: Orange for the overhead sun, blue for the surrounding sky, magenta for sunset on the horizon and brown for the earth.)
  • 200/50: The moving average cross, green for the 50-day ma above the 200, red for below and yellow for closely aligned.
  • 40/10: The moving average cross, green for the 10-day ma above the 40, red for below and yellow for closely aligned.

About my trading methods

Read a detailed explanation of my analysis method, including trading rules.

Disclaimer

Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the analysis and trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.

No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decision decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.

The trader’s greatest sin is inaction. Sleeper, awake! Seize the Nietzchean moment. Roll out of bed and trade.

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