Tuesday, August 3, 2010

8/3 Morningline

  • Ghosting bear signal on high-yield corporate debt returns (JNK).
  • Gold moves to bull phase (GLD)

Stocks and Rates
trendadxpsarppsmacdmacd
trend
stosto
trend
SPY
QQQQ
VIX
TLT
JNK

The JNK bear phase on Person's Proprietary Signal is again proving to be intermittent, appearing and fading. This is one of the ugliest characteristics of the pps, but hey! No signal is perfect!

Below, oil and gold, and global indicators.

Oil and Gold
trendadxpsarppsmacdmacd
trend
stosto
trend
USO
GLD

The pps change to bull phase comes after 12 days in the bear column, a period that saw a 0.7% decline in price. The maximum decline was 2.8%, but there was a significant recovery before the phase switch.

Global
trendadxpsarppsmacdmacd
trend
stosto
trend
EUR/USD
USD/JPY
EEM


The Great Reflation: How Investors Can Profit From the New World of Money
OK. The credit bubble burst. Housing, burst. Shockwaves reverberated. Markets collapsed. What lies ahead as we reemerge from the wreckage.



Indicator Exchange-Traded Fund Symbols:
EEM - emerging markets
EUR/USD - euro/dollar currency pair
GLD - gold
JNK - high-yield corporate bonds
QQQQ - Nasdaq 100 index
SPY - S&P 500 index
TLT - Treasury long-term bonds
USD/JPY - dollar/yen currency pair
USO - crude oil
VIX - fear index


Abbreviations:

  • psar - Parabolic Stop and Reverse
  • adx - Average Directional Index
  • pps - Person's Proprietary Signal.
  • ma20 - 20-day moving average
  • macd - Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
  • sto - Fast Stochastic


About the glance: The colors indicate the state of each signal.

  • trend: Determined by the 5-day moving average, green for up, red for down, yellow for sideways
  • adx: orange for above 30-up, blue for 20-down, purple for in the middle. Red is most prone to whipsaws
  • psar, pps, macd: green for bull mode, red for bear
  • sto: green for overbought, red for oversold, yellow for the neutral zone.

No comments:

Post a Comment