Monday, May 3, 2010

Thinking About UNP

I omitted UNP from my Morningline: Holdings. My position is a bull call spread for May.
trendadxpsarppsmacdmacd
trend
stosto
trend
UNP $76.37

The stock declined sharply on Friday, and has recoveed a bit today. On Friday it also went into bear phase on the parabolic sar and Person's Proprietary Signal, in in the third whipsaw within a week.

Also, the average directional index has dropped from acceptable to marginal, with brings the stock outside of one of my criteria.

On the other hand, it hasn't pierced any significant support levels yet. So the question, as always, is how hair-trigger do I want to be?

I't a fairly low volume stock, trading in the 1 million to 2 million share range, so it's less liquid than the stocks whose options I normally trade.

The Investor's Guide to Active Asset Allocation: Using Technical Analysis and ETFs to Trade the Markets

Martin Pring's detailed deconstruction of the economic cycle: What sorts stocks to look for at each stage of the recovery. A masterful analysis.



Abbreviations:
psar - Parabolic Stop and Reverse
adx - Average Directional Index
pps - Person's Proprietary Signal
ma20 - 20-day moving average
macd - Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
mfi - Money Flow Index
sto - Fast Stochastic


About the glance: The colors indicate the state of each signal.
  • trend: Determined by the 5-day moving average, green for up, red for down, yellow for sideways
  • adx: orange for above 30-up, blue for 20-down, purple for in the middle. Red is most prone to whipsaws
  • psar, pps, macd: green for bull mode, red for bear
  • sto: green for overbought, red for oversold, yellow for the neutral zone.


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