Thursday, May 6, 2010

FNM Watch

Fannie Mae (FNM) briefly touched the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level this afternoon, and then retreated upward, suggesting 99¢ as a support level on the fifth day of freefall.

FNM is coming up on earnings. However, the decline had no basis in news reports until Wednesday, with Freddie Mac (FRE), another government-sponsored enterprise, said it will need an additional $10.6 billion in federal aid.
trendadxpsarppsmacdmacd
trend
stosto
trend
FNM $1.02
At 3:10 p.m. Eastern

As goes Freddie, can Fannie be far behind?

The Fibonacci grid measures FNM's retracement of the rise from 28¢ on Nov. 22, 2008 to $2.13 on Aug. 25, 2009.

In Fibonacci analysis, 61.8% is considered to be a significant reversal level, and certainly 99¢ has been an important stopping place for FNM's price since late 2009.

On an annual chart, FNM has traced a sideways move between about $1.35 and 90¢ since falling from the August 2009 peak. decline from the peak.

The most current rise and fall has been contained between $1.36 and 99¢ so far.


The Investor's Guide to Active Asset Allocation: Using Technical Analysis and ETFs to Trade the Markets

Martin Pring's detailed deconstruction of the economic cycle: What sorts stocks to look for at each stage of the recovery. A masterful analysis.



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Abbreviations:
psar - Parabolic Stop and Reverse
adx - Average Directional Index
pps - Person's Proprietary Signal
ma20 - 20-day moving average
macd - Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
mfi - Money Flow Index
sto - Fast Stochastic


About the glance: The colors indicate the state of each signal.

  • trend: Determined by the 5-day moving average, green for up, red for down, yellow for sideways
  • adx: orange for above 30-up, blue for 20-down, purple for in the middle. Red is most prone to whipsaws
  • psar, pps, macd: green for bull mode, red for bear
  • sto: green for overbought, red for oversold, yellow for the neutral zone.


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