Tuesday, May 4, 2010

FNM Watch

Fannie Mae (FNM) traded entirely below the 50% Fibonacci retracement line for the first time since April 9, amid a general market decline and with earnings coming soon.

The Fibonacci grid measures the downward retracement of the rise from 28¢ on Nov 22, 2008 to $2.14 on Aug. 25, 2009.
trendadxpsarppsmacdmacd
trend
stosto
trend
FNM $1.16

Things have gotten decidedly strange on the earnings schedule.

The ThinkOrSwim trading platform has consistently shown the announcement as post-market May 6, until today, when it shows pre-market May 13.

The E-Trade platform shows the announcement as May 11.

I'm having no luck finding a date on the www.fanniemae.com website, although it's no doubt hidden in plain sight.

Someone asked the other day, in that "are you crazy" tone of voice, why I follow FNM so closely.

It's because I'm fascinating by a penny stock (116 pennies shares counts as a penny stock, right?) that's also a major financial powerhouse and that is broadly traded and continually in the market spotlight.

I consider to be a study of how a very low price impacts technical analysis in issues that otherwise behave like high priced major players.

The Investor's Guide to Active Asset Allocation: Using Technical Analysis and ETFs to Trade the Markets

Martin Pring's detailed deconstruction of the economic cycle: What sorts stocks to look for at each stage of the recovery. A masterful analysis.



Abbreviations:
psar - Parabolic Stop and Reverse
adx - Average Directional Index
pps - Person's Proprietary Signal
ma20 - 20-day moving average
macd - Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
mfi - Money Flow Index
sto - Fast Stochastic


About the glance: The colors indicate the state of each signal.
  • trend: Determined by the 5-day moving average, green for up, red for down, yellow for sideways
  • adx: orange for above 30-up, blue for 20-down, purple for in the middle. Red is most prone to whipsaws
  • psar, pps, macd: green for bull mode, red for bear
  • sto: green for overbought, red for oversold, yellow for the neutral zone.


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