Friday, May 7, 2010

CIEN Watch

Ciena Corp. (CIEN) fell back along the entire length of its decline during Thursday's software-driven selling panic and traded below Thursday's low.
trendadxpsarppsmacdmacd
trend
stosto
trend
CIEN $15.98
At 3:26 p.m. Eastern

Today's open was just below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $16.06.

Next below that is 50%, at $15.01, and 61.8%, at $13.95. Both are common Fib resistance levels.

The grid tracks the retracement of the rise from $10.53 on Dec. 18, 2009 to the high of $19.48 on May 3.

Today's decline brings the price into the area of a top set in September and October 2009.  It was an extended, rounded top, and appears to be a strong support level to my eyes at least.

The strength of the uptrend, which nearly doubled the price, suggests at least the possibility of a shallow retracement.

CIEN participated in Thursday's computer-driven selling panic, and so some of its technical analysis was tainted. See the Skynet Panic articles listed below.


The Investor's Guide to Active Asset Allocation: Using Technical Analysis and ETFs to Trade the Markets

Martin Pring's detailed deconstruction of the economic cycle: What sorts stocks to look for at each stage of the recovery. A masterful analysis.



Skynet Panic of May 6
Panic Looks Like This
Skynet Panic Poisons Technical Tools


Also on Private Trader:


Abbreviations:
psar - Parabolic Stop and Reverse
adx - Average Directional Index
pps - Person's Proprietary Signal
ma20 - 20-day moving average
macd - Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
mfi - Money Flow Index
sto - Fast Stochastic


About the glance: The colors indicate the state of each signal.
  • trend: Determined by the 5-day moving average, green for up, red for down, yellow for sideways
  • adx: orange for above 30-up, blue for 20-down, purple for in the middle. Red is most prone to whipsaws
  • psar, pps, macd: green for bull mode, red for bear
  • sto: green for overbought, red for oversold, yellow for the neutral zone.


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