Wednesday, May 5, 2010

CIEN Watch

Despite the three day, 9.9% decline in Ciena Corp. (CIEN), the stock can be considered to be pausing in a larger uptrend.

Today's low of $17.56 is at a support level set on April 27, so days lost figureis only five, quite low. And the price did a 2% bounce off of that support level, a sign that the support really means something.
trendadxpsarppsmacdmacd
trend
stosto
trend
CIEN $17.91
At 3:20 p.m. Eastern

The 20-day moving average continues to point up, and even the 5-day moving average is neutral.


True, Person's Proprietary Signal has moved into bear phase today, but the parabolic sar remains in bull phase.

I have a May options bull position on this stock, and I'm continuing to hold for now. It doesn't feel like a trend reversal to me.


The Investor's Guide to Active Asset Allocation: Using Technical Analysis and ETFs to Trade the Markets

Martin Pring's detailed deconstruction of the economic cycle: What sorts stocks to look for at each stage of the recovery. A masterful analysis.



Today on Private Trader

Abbreviations:
psar - Parabolic Stop and Reverse
adx - Average Directional Index
pps - Person's Proprietary Signal
ma20 - 20-day moving average
macd - Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
mfi - Money Flow Index
sto - Fast Stochastic


About the glance: The colors indicate the state of each signal.

  • trend: Determined by the 5-day moving average, green for up, red for down, yellow for sideways
  • adx: orange for above 30-up, blue for 20-down, purple for in the middle. Red is most prone to whipsaws
  • psar, pps, macd: green for bull mode, red for bear
  • sto: green for overbought, red for oversold, yellow for the neutral zone.


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