Friday, September 23, 2011

SLV Watch

The silver exchange-traded fund, SLV, has fallen in a manner similar to its gold counterpart.

sym phase trend adx   200/50 40/10

The price dropped below the 20-day Donchian price channel on Thursday, and today it sliced like a knife through jello through lower edge of a sideways pattern that held sway, in two parts, since May 6.

The lowest low of the sidewinder was $31.97 on May 12. Today's decline to around $29 (so far) has brought the price to within another long-running sideways pattern lasting from November 2010 to February 2011. That support level doesn't mean the decline is over, but the it may give SLV a moment of reflection before it hurls further into the price abyss.


  • phase: 20-day price channel phase, with green for bull trend, red for bear trend and yellow for neutral trend.
  • trend: Price direction, green for higher highs and higher lows, red for lower highs and lower lows, yellow for neither.
  • adx: Average directional index location, indicating the strength, or the temperature, of the trend. Orange for 40 or greater, aqua (light blue) for 25 and up but below 40, magenta (light purple) for 20 and up but below 25, and brown for anything below 20. (Mnemonic: Orange for the overhead sun, blue for the surrounding sky, magenta for sunset on the horizon and brown for the earth.)
  • 200/50: The moving average cross, green for the 50-day ma above the 200, red for below and yellow for closely aligned.
  • 40/10: The moving average cross, green for the 10-day ma above the 40, red for below and yellow for closely aligned.

About my trading methods

Read a detailed explanation of my analysis method, including trading rules.


Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the analysis and trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.

No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decision decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.

The trader’s greatest sin is inaction. Sleeper, awake! Seize the Nietzchean moment. Roll out of bed and trade.

No comments:

Post a Comment