- ORCL to bull phase, ending six months in neutrality.
- ABT bear phase ends eight month fall through neutrality.
- China to bull phase after staying neutral for 10 (FXI).
- Emerging markets fund returns to bull phase (EWO).
Watchlist analysis from the monthly charts. The listings have been completely revised in order to overlap the price channel analysis, done separately on the daily charts.
See the listings key near the end of this posting for an explanation of the listings.
Seen the Earnings Calendar on the menu bar for the latest on when stocks on the Watchlist will announce.
My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).
Bull plays
phase | pfe | pps | trend | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
CHRW | |||||
CTSH | |||||
CVX | |||||
DECK | |||||
ENTR | |||||
GE* | |||||
GOOG* | |||||
GRMN | |||||
MCO* | |||||
MU* | |||||
ORCL | |||||
PAYX* | |||||
SO | |||||
VAR | |||||
WMT | |||||
XLE* | |||||
XLP* | |||||
XLU | |||||
XOM |
Bear plays
phase | pfe | pps | trend | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ABT | |||||
AMR | |||||
CREE | |||||
DELL | |||||
GPS | |||||
JNJ | |||||
M | |||||
MNKD | |||||
MO | |||||
T |
Diversification plays
phase | pfe | pps | trend | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
EPI | |||||
EWZ | |||||
FXI | |||||
RSX | |||||
VWO |
Wounded birds
phase | pfe | pps | trend | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
AROW | |||||
FTR | |||||
MVO | |||||
NLY |
Zombies
phase | pfe | pps | trend | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
AOD* | |||||
FNMA* |
Listings Key
Bull Plays
sym | why care? |
---|---|
CHRW | legacy earns |
CTSH | legacy earns |
CVX | div 3.3% |
DECK | legacy earns |
ENTR | legacy earns |
GE | transnat, price channel |
GOOG | holding |
GRMN | legacy earns |
MCO | covered call base |
MU | price channel, holding |
ORCL | price channel |
PAYX | div 3.9% |
SBUX | holding (seeking exit) |
SO | div 4.8% |
VAR | holding |
WMT | price channel |
XLE | sector rotation |
XLP | sector rotation |
XLU | price channel |
XOM | legacy earns |
Bear Plays
All bear plays appear because of price channel analysis.
Diversification
sym | underlying |
---|---|
EPI | India |
EWZ | Brazil |
FXI | China |
RSX | Russia |
VWO | Global |
Wounded Birds
sym | why care? |
---|---|
AROW | div 4.19% |
FTR | div 8.0% |
MVO | div 7.0% |
NLY | div 15.0% |
Zombies
sym | why care? |
---|---|
AOD | div 11.3m% |
FNMA | crazy penny stock speculation |
About the categories:
- Bull plays: I think these are more likely to rise than fall.
- Bear plays: I think these are more likely to fall than rise.
- Diversification plays: These don’t closely track the U.S. markets or are based on currencies other than the U.S. dollar.
- Wounded birds: Stocks I find fascinating but they each have an apparently fatal flaw.
- Zombies: These are failed leftovers from what seemed to be good ideas at the time. They stalk the Watchlist like zombies, tying up resources and frightening small children.
Table Abbreviations:
- pfe - Location of the polarized fractal efficiency line.
- pps - Person's Proprietary Signal mode.
- trend - Trend of the polarized fractal efficiency line.
Key to the PPS/PFE tables
column | color | meaning |
---|---|---|
phase | bull phase | |
bear phase | ||
pfe | +100 and above | |
+50 to below 100 | ||
0 to below +50 | ||
below 0 to above -50 | ||
-50 to above -100 | ||
below -100 | ||
pps | bull confirmation | |
bear confirmation | ||
trend | uptrend | |
no trend | ||
downtrend |
More on the PFE/PPS analysis
Read a detailed explanation of the analytical tools and how they’re used, including trading rules.
Disclaimer
Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the analysis and trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.
No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decision decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.
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