Friday, February 26, 2010

UNG mfi oversold

The money flow index for natural gas has moved into oversold territory, after a decline that has carried the natural gas exchange traded fund, UNG, down 20% since Jan. 7.

An oversold mfi is a bull signal. The macd remains in bear territory but this morning rose toward the zero-line.

Yesterday's low point, $8.63, put UNG slightly aove the low of $8.50 set on Dec. 3.


In the longer run UNG has been on a massive slide from $63.89 in July 2008 down to its current position below $9, an 87% slide.

In that period, the mfi has moved into oversold territory six times -- this time is the seventh, with only minimal effects on the price.


So, with my deep respect for the broad sweep of history, I'm saying, not a bull trade for me.

But, let's spy out the terrain.

Support runs between $8.50 and $8.65 or so, near-term resistance around $9.50, with lots of congestion all the way up to $11.

Even without that long-term history, I'd still be reluctant to play this very congesed chart.



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Topics: United States Natural Gas Fund.

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