Friday, June 3, 2011

6/3 Top Prospects

Nine breakouts beyond the 55-day price channel among the 300+ stocks and exchange trade funds I screened.

Since I posted no Top Prospects on Thursday, this posting covers both Thursday and Friday.

sym phase adx bday blevel stop atr atr%
F  
24
jun3 $13.89 $14.19 0.30 2.2%
GLW*  
21
jun3 $19.06 $19.50 0.44 2.3%
HD  
22
jun1 $35.43 $35.99 0.56 1.6%
LNC  
15
jun2 $28.00 $28.56 0.56 2.0%
NLY*  
17
jun2 $18.16 $18.04 0.12 0.7%
TGT  
22
jun2 $48.51 $49.41 0.90 1.9%
TSO  
26
jun2 $22.74 $23.65 0.91 4.0%
UNG+  
18
jun2 $12.20 $11.89 0.31 2.5%
WHR  
15
jun3 $79.15 $80.90 1.75 2.2%
Exchange-traded funds are marked with a plus sign (+) after the ticker symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

ADM broke below the 55-day price channel on June 2, but with a declining average directional index (adx), which negated the phase change. The lower channel boundary is $30.72.

All of the stocks listed have bullish financials, with the exception of GLW, which fits an extremely bearish fundamental profile.


Key

  • phase: Green for a bull-phase breakout, red for a bear phase.
  • adx: Average direction index location, indicating the strength, or the temperature, of the trend. Orange for 40 or greater, aqua (light blue) for 30 and up but below 40, magenta (light purple) for 20 and up but below 30, and brown for anything below 20. (Mnemonic: Orange for the overhead sun, blue for the surrounding sky, purple for sunset on the horizon and brown for the earth.)
  • bday: Breakout day, the day the price broke through the upper or lower 55-day price line.
  • blevel: Breakout level, the price level of the line that was broken through.
  • bstop: The stop/loss price calculated on breakout days as the 14-day average true range below the breakout-day low for a bull phase and above thre breakout-day high for a bear phase.
  • atr: The 14-day average true range, in the same currency as the price.
  • atr%: The average true range as a percentage of the breakout level, an indicator of volatility that is comparable for all potential trades.

About channel analysis

Read a detailed explanation of my channel analysis method, including trading rules.

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