Wednesday, July 13, 2016

Thursday's Prospects

On Wednesday, July 13:

Of 490 large-cap stocks and exchange-traded funds in my analytical universe, three meet my criteria for further consideration. I already hold positions in two of them and the third is a close duplicate to a holding.

There are no prospects for trades coinciding with earnings announcements.

Lacking prospects, I shall do further no analysis on Thursday, July 14.

The next earnings season began on July 11 and will last for six weeks, through Aug. 19.


Invisible Influence: The Hidden Forces that Shape Behavior
by Jonah Berger


Symbols meeting or close to meeting implied volatility criteria

IV qualifies

GDXJ

Qualifies,
In portfolio
MON
GDX

Assessment

I'm unlikely to do a full analysis and trade on GDXJ, which tracks smaller gold mining outfits, since I already hold GDX, which tracks larger gold miners.

Two companies publishing earnings, C and WFC, qualify except for low implied volatility, at the 30th and 24th percentile, respectively, of the one-year range. I'll pursue further analysis if either reaches the 50th percentile or greater on Wednesday; otherwise, they're out of play.
Methodology

The stocks in my analytical universe all have analyst coverage through the stock-ranking company Zacks Investment Research. Not all of the exchange-traded funds are so covered.

I screen for 1) suitability of the options grid, including open interest of three figures or greater on the strike prices I would need to use to build a position and 2) the absence of an earnings announcement within the lifespan of the like options series I would trade, 3) implied volatility in the 50th percentile or greater of its annual range, 4) average volume of 3 million shares a day or greater, and 5) a price of $20 or greater.

-- Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, July 12, 2016

References

Tradecraft: Playing the odds to build winning stock market trades from options, a description of how I trade, can be read here.

I can be reached via comments on Private Trader posts or by email at datnillc@gmail.com.

Alerts

Two social media feeds provide notification whenever something new is posted.
Disclaimer
Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the analysis and trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.
No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decision decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.
License

Creative Commons License

All content on Tim Bovee, Private Trader by Timothy K. Bovee is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Based on a work at www.timbovee.com.Tss s ss'ss

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