Thursday, May 12, 2016

Thursday's Agenda

Implied volatility for each of today's prospects remains below the 60th percentile of its most recent range, my minimum require for proceeding with full analysis and possibly a trade.

symrange %ile

CNC, at the bottom of the barrel, has no reasonable chance of reaching the 60th, so I'm setting it aside and won't concern myself with it further.

NVDA is within reach of the 60th, if implied volatility raises form the present 51% to 56%. Possible, but not likely. I'll check it as the day goes on and if it reaches the qualifying level, I'll proceed with a full analysis.

-- Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, May 12, 2016

Odds On: The Making of an Evidence-Based Investor
by Matt Hall


Tradecraft: Playing the odds to build winning stock market trades from options, a description of how I trade, can be read here.

Elliott wave analysis tracks patterns in price movements. StockCharts has a good explainer. The principal practioner of Elliott wave analysis is Robert Prechter at Elliott Wave International. His book, Elliott Wave Principle, is a must-read for people interested in this form of analysis, as is his most recent publication, Visual Guide to Elliott Wave Trading

I can be reached via comments on Private Trader posts or by email at


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Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the analysis and trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.
No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.

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