Friday, October 29, 2010

10/29 Forex

  • U.S. dollar to bear phase against the yen (USD/JPY).
  • New Zealand dollar moves to bull phase against the U.S. dollar (USD/NZD).

ppspps openupper pivotlower pivot
EUR/USD US$1.39 US$1.39 oct19 US$1.40 US$1.30
AUD/USD US$0.98 US$0.99 oct25 US$1.00 US$0.91
USD/CAD C$1.02 C$1.03 oct25 C$1.06 C$1.02
USD/JPY¥81 ¥81.00 oct29 ¥85 ¥82
GBP/CHF C$1.57 C$1.53 sep25 C$1.58 C$1.52
GBP/USD US$1.60 US$1.58 oct28 US$1.60 US$1.54
EUR/JPY ¥112 ¥107.82 sep14 ¥117 ¥108
AUD/JPY ¥79 ¥80 oct19 ¥83 ¥77
USD/CHFSF0.99 SF0.96 oct19 SF1.02 SF0.96
NZD/USD US$0.76 US$0.75 oct29 US$0.75 US$0.72
USD/MXN M$12.34 M$12.39 oct21 M$13.06 M$12.28

The USD/JPY phase switch ended a two-day bull phase that saw the pair's price decline by 0.4%. The price is below the second lower monthly pivot level.

The bull phase on NZD/USD ends eight days in bear phase that saw the price barely change.

The analysis uses the daily Person's Proprietary Signal, developed by John Person, and the monthly Person's Pivot, which he also developed.

These are black box signals -- the "proprietary" means that Mr. Person knows how they work under the hood, and I don't. But they have shown a fair degree of success in identifying good entry and exit points, and I find them useful.

On the glance, "pps open" means the price at the start of trading in the United States on the day the signal appeared.

I also refer to the Heikin-Ashia trend or candlestick. The Heikin-Ashi averages six days for high, low, open and close, signalling uptrend if the close is in the upper half of the range and downtrend if it is in the lower half. The signal for opening and closing positions require confirmation through a turn in the 8-day exponential moving average.

Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.

No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decision decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.

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