Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Warren Buffett's Portfolio

Just for fun, here’s an analysis of major holdings in uber-value-trader Warren Buffett’s portfolio. He trades with a very long-term horizon, so out of fairness I shall use the monthly chart for my analysis.

The portfolio was reported today by Investopedia.

All in all, it looks pretty good. There are quite a few neutral-phase holdings, many of them unconfirmed, but not a single bear phase in the lot.

phase pfeppstrend
KO
PG
AXP
WFC
WMT
JNJ
KFT
USB
WSC
COP
BK
MCO
NKE
FSV

Table Abbreviations:
  • pfe - Location of the polarized fractal efficiency line.
  • pps - Person's Proprietary Signal mode.
  • trend - Trend of the polarized fractal efficiency line.



Key to the PPS/PFE tables
columncolormeaning
phase bull phase
bear phase
pfe +100 and above
+50 to below 100
0 to below +50
below 0 to above -50
-50 to above -100
below -100
pps bull confirmation
bear confirmation
trend uptrend
no trend
downtrend


More on the PFE/PPS analysis

Read a detailed explanation of the analytical tools and how they’re used, including trading rules.

Read about the backtesting used to develop the PFE/PPS strategy.

Disclaimer
Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the analysis and trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.


No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decision decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.

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