Sunday, November 28, 2010

Weeklies

Phase Changes
  • Indicators
    • Bull: VIX
    • Bear: JNK, EEM
  • Forex
    • Bull: USD/MXN
    • Bear: AUD/USD, GBP/USD, NZD/USD
  • Growth plays
    • MO placed on the inactive roster.
  • Diversification plays
    • Bear: EWZ

My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).


Indicators

Stocks and Rates
ppspps opentarget
SPY* $110.37 sep6 $123.72
QQQQ $45.82 sep6 $55.25
VIX $19.45 nov22 $24.39
TLT $105.09 sep6 $94.95
JNK $40.31 nov22 $38.13.67

Oil and Gold
ppspps opentarget
USO $36.85 nov15 $34.26
GLD $119.70 aug16 $138.73

Global
ppspps opentarget
EUR/USD US$1.41 nov8 US$1.37
USD/JPY ¥82.47 nov15 ¥88.79
EEM $46.27 nov22 $42.18


Forex

ppspps opentarget
EUR/USD US$1.41 nov8 US$1.37
AUD/USD US$0.99 nov22 US$0.96
USD/CAD C$1.03 sep20 C$0.98
USD/JPY ¥82.47 nov15 ¥88.79
GBP/CHF SF1.53 oct25 SF1.60
GBP/USD US$1.60 nov22 US$1.50
EUR/JPY ¥114 oct25 ¥111
AUD/JPY ¥79 nov1 ¥83.32
USD/CHF SF0.98 nov15 SF1.00
NZD/USD US$0.78 nov22 US$0.74
USD/MXN M$12.24 nov22 M$12.55


Watchlists

Growth
ppspps opentarget
CMG $150.06 aug2 $243.08
ENDP $21.77 jun14 $41.31
GES $41.34 nov15 $45.33
IDCC $25.73 sep13 $37.19
LULU* $34.65 sep6 $51.01
LVS $25.76 jul26 $53.75
PCLN $179.14 jul5 $419.75
URBN* $32.35 nov8 $37.83
Inactive: MO


Key to growth plays
feb14feb28
symearnings
CMGfeb9
ENDPfeb21
GESnov23
IDCCfeb21
LULUdec6
LVSfeb14
MOjan24
PCLN
URBN


Bear plays
None.

Income plays
ppspps opentarget
AGG $108.61 nov8 $106.57
AOD* $5.49 sep27 $6.00
AROW $24.52 nov1 $29.90
CCT $26.40 oct1 $24.52
CVX $73.82 jul26 $88.13
FTR $7.76 sep13 $9.37
MRF $9.20 nov1 $8.36
MVO $30.66 nov15 $33.29
NLY $17.99 oct18 $18.79
SO $33.25 jun14 $39.38
STON $20.54 jun21 $31.43


Key to income plays
symdiv%freqex-div
AGG3.1Mdec1
AOD11.3Mdec22
AROW3.6Qdec1
CCT6.9Mjan
CVX3.4Qfeb
FTR8.2Qdec7
MRF8.5Mfeb
MVO7.8Qjan
NLY15.4Qdec
SO4.8Qjan
STON7.9Qfeb
Frequency: M = monthly; Q = quarterly.


Diversification plays
ppspps opentarget
EPI $28.23 nov8 $24.47
EWZ $76.41 nov 22 $66.81
FXI $45.65 nov15 $43.11
RSX $31.54 sep20 $36.08
VWO $47.01 nov22 $42.94


Key to diversification plays
symunderlying
EPIIndia
EWZBrazil
FXIChina
RSXRussia
VWOGlobal


Zombies
ppspps opentarget
FNMA* $0.37 nov15 $0.58
MCO* $22.94 sep6 $30.74

The analysis uses the weekly Person's Proprietary Signal, developed by John Person, and the monthly Person's Pivot, which he also developed.

These are black box signals -- the "proprietary" means that Mr. Person knows how they work under the hood, and I don't. But they have shown a fair degree of success in identifying good entry and exit points, and I find them useful.

On the glance, "pps open" means the price at the start of trading in the United States on the week the signal appeared. The actual appearance may in fact have been days later.

“Target” means the nearest Person’s Pivot level in the direction of the phase -- upper pivot for bull phase, lower pivot for bear phase.

Disclaimer
Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.


No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decision decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.

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