8/1 Almanac

On Monday, Aug. 1: Manufacturing index.

There are 19 trading days before the August options expire, 47 the September, 82 the October and 110 the November.

A reminder that beginning on Monday, Private Trader goes on a vacation schedule. The Almanac will resume publication on Monday, Sept. 6, the day after Labor Day.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

7/29 Top Prospects

Fifteen breakouts beyond the 55-day price channel among the 600+ stocks and exchange traded funds I screened. Fourteen of them have strong trends.

I found these parabolic sar phase changes. (See my posting about a strategy I'm trying based on the parabolic sar.)

... to the bull side: MCK and TLT.

... to the bear side: APC, APOL, BHI, HLX, LVS, MCD, MMI, MON, PDS, SMOD, QQQ, USO, IDX, VNM, EWJ, XLK, XLU and XLY.

Strong-trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
AGNC		28	jul29	$28.05	$28.48	0.47	1.7%
CHK		32	jul29	$34.83	$33.87	0.96	2.8%
CHL		29	jul29	$49.99	$49.34	0.65	1.3%
CIEN		37	jul29	$15.22	$16.09	0.87	5.7%
ECL		37	jul29	$50.03	$51.12	1.09	2.2%
EXPE		25	jul29	$31.01	$30.19	0.82	2.6%
MCO		25	jul29	$35.09	$36.24	1.15	3.3%
ORI		42	jul29	$10.58	$10.82	0.24	2.3%
QGEN		29	jul29	$16.84	$17.22	0.38	2.3%
RLD		42	jul29	$16.65	$16.96	1.15	6.9%
STX		30	jul29	$13.99	$14.60	0.61	4.4%
VECO		39	jul29	$39.29	$41.27	1.98	5.0%
VMED		29	jul29	$26.34	$27.16	0.82	3.1%
XLNX		29	jul29	$31.81	$32.71	0.90	2.8%

Exchange-traded funds are marked with a plus sign (+) after the ticker symbol. Stocks within 30 days of an earnings announcement are marked with a section symbol (§). My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

Outside of the chart, I have a strong opinion on only one breakout stock; I'm strongly bearish ORI, an opinion in line with the signal.

Weak-trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
SMH+		20	jul29	$32.03	$32.78	0.75	2.3%

Exchange-traded funds are marked with a plus sign (+) after the ticker symbol. Stocks within 30 days of an earnings announcement are marked with a section symbol (§). My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

7/29 Indicators

Fear index (VIX) breaks out to the bull side, marking soaring S&P 500 volatility.

Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): Parabolic sar turns bearish.

Treasury long-term debt (TLT): Macd turns bullish.

Corporate high-yield debt (JNK): Macd turns bearish.

Crude oil (USO): Parabolic sar, macd turn bearish.

Emerging markets (EEM): Macd turns bearish.


Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

7/29 Forex

Seven breakouts among the 124 currency pairs I follow, three with strong trends.

I found these parabolic sar phase changes:

… to the bull side: CHF/HUF, USD/CAD and USD/THB.

… to the bear side: NZD/CHF.

Strong-Trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
CHF/DKK+		33	jul29	Dkr6.5374	Dkr6.4522	0.0852	1.3%
EUR/CHF+		32	jul29	SF1.1405	SF1.1564	0.0159	1.4%
GBP/CHF+		30	jul29	SF1.3034	SF1.3190	0.0156	1.2%

Major currency pairs, which carry lower margin in the United States, are marked with a plus sign (+) after the symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).


Weak-Trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
CAD/CHF+		13	jul29	SF0.8409	SF0.8528	0.0119	1.4%
CAD/JPY+		15	jul29	¥81.006	¥81.950	0.944	1.2%
CHF/SGD		21	jul28	S$1.5067	S$1.4898	0.0169	1.1%
MXN/JPY		20	jul28	¥6.6155	¥6.6902	0.0747	1.3%

Major currency pairs, which carry lower margin in the United States, are marked with a plus sign (+) after the symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

7/29 Almanac

On Friday, July 29: GDP.

There are 22 trading days before the August options expire, 50 the September, 85 the October and 113 the November.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

August Schedule

Just as Paris shuts down tight during the month of August, as everyone flees the city for more salubrious climes, so Private Trader will be moving to an attenuated schedule for the month.

Normal posting will resume on Sept. 6, the day after Labor Day.

I've long thought that August was the stupidest month of all for active trading. Clearly, the interns are in charge on Wall Street, and they think nothing of pushing wide, counter-intuitive price swings on low volume days.

It's hard to make money in August, so I say, "Fie, inconstant month", and shall go on vacation myself.

Here's my plan:

I won't be posting Top Prospects.

I won't be post the Almanac.

I shall post Indicators.
I shall post Forex, but shall limit my scan to only the 12 most active pairs: AUD/JPY, AUD/USD, EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP, EUR/USD, GBP/CHF, GBP/JPY, GBP/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, USD/CHF and USD/JPY.

The Indicators and Forex postings will be posted on an East Asian schedule shortly after London trading opens from Aug. 5 through Aug. 22, after midnight Eastern U.S. time.

I won't be posting at all on my two travel days: Aug. 4 and Aug. 23, and their may be additional missed days.

In terms of my personal market activity, I shall trade currencies, which I can easily do on an Asian time schedule. Otherwise, it's all sand and saké.

7/28 Top Prospects

Four breakouts beyond the 55-day price channel among the 600+ stocks and exchange traded funds I screened. All have strong trends.

I found these parabolic sar phase changes. (See my posting about a strategy I'm trying based on the parabolic sar.)

... to the bull-side: TUR.

... to the bear side: AAPL, GOOG, SMH, DBO, DBP and URA.

Strong-trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
ADBE*		25	jul28	$28.34	$29.06	0.72	2.5%
PSEC		45	jul28	$9.66	$9.85	0.19	2.0%
TXN		26	jul28	$30.17	$30.94	0.77	2.6%
THD+		30	jul28	$71.66	$70.60	1.06	1.5%

Exchange-traded funds are marked with a plus sign (+) after the ticker symbol. Stocks within 30 days of an earnings announcement are marked with a section symbol (§). My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

7/28 Forex

Five breakouts among the 124 currency pairs I follow, three with strong trends.

I found these parabolic sar phase changes:

… to the bull side: AUD/SEK.

… to the bear side: EUR/CHF, GBP/CHF, GBP/TRY and PLN/CZK.

Strong-Trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
EUR/NZD+*		37	jul28	NZ$1.6488	NZ$1.6666	0.0178	1.1%
GBP/AUD+		27	jul28	A$1.4792	A$1.4921	0.0128	0.9%
NZD/DKK+		38	jul28	Dkr4.5169	Dkr4.4697	0.0472	1.0%

Major currency pairs, which carry lower margin in the United States, are marked with a plus sign (+) after the symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).


Weak-Trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
AUD/NOK+		23	jul28	Nkr5.9718	Nkr5.9127	0.0591	1.0%
AUD/SGD		12	jul28	S$1.3295	S$1.3189	0.0106	0.8%

Major currency pairs, which carry lower margin in the United States, are marked with a plus sign (+) after the symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

7/28 Indicators

S&P 500 (SPY), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): Macd turns bearish.

Fear index (VIX): Parabolic sar turns bullish.

Corporate high-yield debt (JNK): Parabolic sar turns bearish.

Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

7/28 Almanac

On Thursday, July 28: Jobless claims, pending home sales.

There are 23 trading days before the August options expire, 51 the September, 86 the October and 114 the November.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

7/27 Top Prospects

Ten breakouts beyond the 55-day price channel among the 600+ stocks and exchange traded funds I screened. Eight have strong trends.

I found these parabolic sar phase changes. (See my posting about a strategy I'm trying based on the parabolic sar.)

... to the bull side: VNM and CHIQ.

... to the bear side: BAX, CPX, HAL, LLY, NXY, VMW, XLE, XLV, GDX, GDXJ and XME.

Strong-trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
ALTR		25	jul27	$40.09	$41.49	1.40	3.5%
ARUN		26	jul27	$22.53	$24.13	1.60	7.1%
BSBR		28	jul27	$9.60	$9.92	0.32	3.3%
FBR		32	jul27	$11.48	$11.84	0.36	3.1%
FTNT		36	jul27	$19.85	$21.11	1.26	6.4%
JNS		26	jul27	$8.55	$8.90	0.35	4.1%
PNC		27	jul27	$54.89	$56.06	1.17	2.1%
WAG		27	jul27	$39.44	$40.23	0.79	2.0%

Exchange-traded funds are marked with a plus sign (+) after the ticker symbol. Stocks within 30 days of an earnings announcement are marked with a section symbol (§). My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

Outside of the charts, I'm mildly bullish ALTR, BSBR and FTNT, which is contrary to the chart signal, and neutral the rest.

Weak-trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
ECH+		15	jul27	$70.32	$71.62	1.30	1.9%
SLV+		15	jul26	$39.78	$38.60	1.18	3.0%

Exchange-traded funds are marked with a plus sign (+) after the ticker symbol. Stocks within 30 days of an earnings announcement are marked with a section symbol (§). My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

7/27 Indicators

Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): Bull trend weakens as average diretional index drops below 20.

Emerging markets (EEM): Parabolic sar turns bullish (but the price action runs contrary to the signal).

Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

7/27 Forex

Two breakouts among the 124 currency pairs I follow, one with a strong trend.

I found these parabolic sar phase changes:

… to the bull side: AUD/JPY.

… to the bear side: DKK/CZK, DKK/ZAR, EUR/CZK, EUR/ZAR, NZD/SEK and PLN/HUF.

Strong-Trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
AUD/DKK+		25	jul27	Dkr5.6881	Dkr5.6387	0.0494	0.9%

Major currency pairs, which carry lower margin in the United States, are marked with a plus sign (+) after the symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).


Weak-Trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
EUR/AUD+		23	jul27	A$1.3106	A$1.3223	0.0117	0.9%

Major currency pairs, which carry lower margin in the United States, are marked with a plus sign (+) after the symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

7/27 Almanac

On Wednesday, July 27: Durable goods.

There are 24 trading days before the August options expire, 52 the September, 87 the October and 115 the November.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

7/26 Top Prospects

Eight breakouts beyond the 55-day price channel among the 600+ stocks and exchange traded funds I screened. Two of them have strong trends.

I found these parabolic sar phase changes. (See my posting about a strategy I'm trying based on the parabolic sar.)

... To the bull side: XLNK, FXI, CHIB, PSTL and BHP.

... To the bear side: AEO and PCYC.

Strong-trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
DGX		25	jul26	$55.90	$56.85	0.95	1.7%
NAV		33	jul26	$51.94	$53.56	1.62	3.1%
IDX+		29	jul26	$33.85	$33.40	0.45	1.3%

Exchange-traded funds are marked with a plus sign (+) after the ticker symbol. Stocks within 30 days of an earnings announcement are marked with a section symbol (§). My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

Looking outside the chart, I am mildly bearish DGX and neutral NAV.

Weak-trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
DBB+		20	jul26	$24.84	$24.70	0.33	1.3%
DBC+		21	jul26	$30.81	$30.39	0.42	1.4%
EWS+		14	jul26	$14.29	$14.11	0.18	1.3%
PALL+		16	jul26	$81.22	$79.74	1.48	1.8%
UUP+		13	jul26	$21.01	$21.16	0.16	0.8%

Exchange-traded funds are marked with a plus sign (+) after the ticker symbol. Stocks within 30 days of an earnings announcement are marked with a section symbol (§). My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

7/26 Indicators

Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), after a slight pullback, again breaks above the price channel into bull phase.

U.S. Dollar (UUP) falls below the price channel into bear phase.

S&P 500 Volatility (VIX): Macd turns bullish.

Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

7/26 Forex

Five breakouts among the 124 currency pairs I follow, one with a strong trend.

I found these parabolic sar phase changes:

... to the bull side: AUD/SGD, DKK/THB, EUR/GBP and EUR/THB

... to the bear side: GBP/AUD, GBP/CZK, GBP/DKK, GBP/ZAR and USD/ZAR.

Strong-Trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
GBP/NZD+		32	jul26	NZ$1.8779	NZ$1.8976	0.0197	1.1%

Major currency pairs, which carry lower margin in the United States, are marked with a plus sign (+) after the symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).


Weak-Trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
AUD/USD+		11	jul26	US$1.0888	US$1.0776	0.0112	1.0%
CAD/HKD		19	jul26	HK$8.2674	HK$8.1948	0.0726	0.9%
CHF/JPY+		18	jul26	¥97.792	¥96.760	1.032	1.1%
USD/CAD		16	jul26	C$0.9423	C$0.9511	0.0088	0.9%

Major currency pairs, which carry lower margin in the United States, are marked with a plus sign (+) after the symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

7/26 Almanac

On Tuesday, July 26: Consumer confidence, new home sales.

There are 25 trading days before the August options expire, 53 the September, 88 the October and 116 the November.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

7/25 Top Prospects

Six breakouts beyond the 55-day price channel among the 600+ stocks and exchange traded funds I screened, four with strong trends.

I found seven parabolic sar phase changes. (See my posting about a strategy I'm trying based on the parabolic sar.)

Two were to the bull side: VIP, EWZ and RSX.

And four to the bear side: EBAY, TIF, TIN and UNG

Strong-trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
AAPL		35	jul25	$396.27	$388.32	7.95	2.0%
ETFC		27	jul25	$16.50	$15.89	0.61	3.7%
IAU		33	jul25	$15.70	$15.52	0.19	1.2%		35	jul25	$27.64	$27.06	0.58	2.1%		27	jul25	$19.79	$20.63	0.84	4.2%

Exchange-traded funds are marked with a plus sign (+) after the ticker symbol. Stocks within 30 days of an earnings announcement are marked with a section symbol (§). My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

Weak-trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
GDXJ+		23	jul25	$39.25	$38.07	1.18	3.0%
GLD+		22	jul25	$156.58	$155.02	1.70	1.1%

Exchange-traded funds are marked with a plus sign (+) after the ticker symbol. Stocks within 30 days of an earnings announcement are marked with a section symbol (§). My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

7/25 Indicators

Gold (GLD) breaks out of price channel into bull phase.

Treasury long-term debt (TLT): Macd turns bearish.

Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

7/25 Forex

Two breakouts among the 124 currency pairs I follow, both with strong trends.

Of 10 changes greater than 1%, seven involve the Swiss franc. Clearly, there's a major flight to quality going on in light of sovereign debt impasse in U.S. politics.

I found one parabolic sar phase change: GBP/CAD, to the bull side.

Strong-Trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
CHF/HKD		29	jul25	HK$9.6345	HK$9.5156	0.1189	1.2%
USD/CHF+		28	jul25	SF0.8082	SF0.8188	0.0106	1.3%

Major currency pairs, which carry lower margin in the United States, are marked with a plus sign (+) after the symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

7/25 Almanac

On Monday, July 25: Chicago Fed national activity index.

There are 26 trading days before the August options expire, 54 the September, 89 the October and 117 the November.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

7/22 Top Prospects

Two breakouts beyond the 55-day price channel among the 600+ stocks and exchange traded funds I screened, one with a strong trend.

Also, parabolic sar phase changes. (See my posting about a strategy I'm trying based on the parabolic sar.)

To the bull side: ENTG, FRO, MBT, MU, EWH, EWP and SMH.

To the bear side: DBA.

Strong-trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
FNFG		36	jul22	$12.73	$12.99	0.26	2.0%

Exchange-traded funds are marked with a plus sign (+) after the ticker symbol. Stocks within 30 days of an earnings announcement are marked with a section symbol (§). My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

Weak-trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
QQQ+		19	jul22	$59.36	$58.49	0.87	1.5%

Exchange-traded funds are marked with a plus sign (+) after the ticker symbol. Stocks within 30 days of an earnings announcement are marked with a section symbol (§). My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

7/22 Indicators

Fear index (VIX), which tracks S&P 500 volatility: The parabolic sar and macd turn bearish

Treasury long-term bonds (TLT): The parabolic sar turns bearish.

Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

7/22 Forex

Two breakouts among the 124 currency pairs I follow, both with weak trends.

There were an unusually large number of parabolic sar phase changes, more than a third of them involving trades out of the Swiss franc. The franc was a haven when it looked like the U.S. debt rating and the Euro-zone's financial stability were in jeopardy. Both problems see to be nearing solutions.

Parabolic sar phase changes...

... to the bull side: AUD/CAD, AUD/CHF, EUR/CAD, EUR/CHF, GBP/CHF and SEK/JPY.

... to the bear side: AUD/CZK, AUD/ZAR, CAD/NOK, CHF/CZK, CHF/DKK, CHF/HUF, CHF/NOK, CHF/ZAR, CZK/HUF, DKK/HUF, EUR/HUF, GBP/NOK, GBP/SEK, NZD/PLN, NZD/ZAR and USD/HUF.

Weak-Trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
AUD/HKD		11	jul22	HK$8.4612	HK$8.3758	0.0854	1.0%
NZD/CHF+		14	jul22	SF0.7092	SF0.7014	0.0106	1.5%

Major currency pairs, which carry lower margin in the United States, are marked with a plus sign (+) after the symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

7/22 Almanac

On Friday, July 22: The sounds of silence.

There are 29 trading days before the August options expire, 57 the September, 92 the October and 120 the November.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

7/21 Top Prospects

Three breakouts beyond the 55-day price channel among the 600+ stocks and exchange traded funds I screened, all with weak trends. Most of the stocks, by far, are blocked from consideration by my earnings rule: No trades within 30 days of the announcement.

Lots of parabolic sar phase changes, though, including a bunch of sector exchange-traded funds covering interest-sensitive finance and utilities, health care, tech (yesterday), consumer staples and consumer discretionary. (See my posting about a strategy I'm trying based on the parabolic sar.)

This is not a portrait of an economy sinking into renewed recession as a result of the debt crisis. I think the markets, all in all, have concluded that Congress will take action sufficient to stave off a downgrade in sovereign debt.

Parabolic sar phase changes:

To the bull side: BAC, BCS, SCHW, EWA, XLY, XLP, XLF, XLV, XLU and DIA.

To the bear side: KR, OCZ, TLT and UUP.

Weak-trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
JOYG		21	jul21	$100.66	$97.50	3.16	3.1%
THD+		24	jul21	$70.23	$69.06	1.17	1.7%
XLE		16	jul21	$78.97	$77.49	1.48	1.9%

Exchange-traded funds are marked with a plus sign (+) after the ticker symbol. Stocks within 30 days of an earnings announcement are marked with a section symbol (§). My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

7/21 Forex

One breakout among the 124 currency pairs I follow, with a strong trend.

Most of the parabolic sar phase changes involved the Scandinavians, to the bear side.

To the bull side: EUR/AUD, EUR/HKD and EUR/USD.

To the bear side: AUD/DKK, AUD/NOK, AUD/SEK, DKK/SEK, EUR/NOK, EUR/SEK, NOK/DKK, USD/DKK, USD/MXN and USD/SEK.

Strong-Trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
EUR/TRY		25	jul21	TL2.3661	TL2.3414	0.0247	1.0%

Major currency pairs, which carry lower margin in the United States, are marked with a plus sign (+) after the symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

7/21 Indicators

Gold (GLD) drops back to neutral phase after closing below the beakout level for two consecutive days.

Emerging markets (EEM): Macd turns bullish.

Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

7/21 Almanac

On Thursday, July 21: Jobless claims, Bernanke testimony.

There are 30 trading days before the August options expire, 58 the September, 93 the October and 121 the November.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

7/20 Top Prospects

Ten breakouts beyond the 55-day price channel among the 600+ stocks and exchange traded funds I screened, all with strong trends.

There were eight parabolic sar changes. To the bull side, EGHT, ETFC, GFA, QQQ, EWJ, XLK and XME. To the bear side, WYNN. (See my posting about a strategy I'm trying based on the parabolic sar.)

Strong-trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
AAPL		28	jul20	$378.65	$378.11	7.89	2.1%
CMG		41	jul20	$333.71	$323.67	7.53	2.3%
HAL		25	jul20	$55.41	$53.82	1.6	2.9%
HOG		34	jul19	$44.04	$43.41	1.36	3.1%
IBM		34	jul19	$177.77	$175.08	2.65	1.5%
LULU		37	jul19	$62.86	$60.72	2.14	3.4%
MON		25	jul20	$75.50	$73.95	1.55	2.1%
PSS		33	jul20	$13.23	$13.79	0.56	4.2%
VMW		30	jul20	$106.21	$102.64	3.57	3.4%
WINN		26	jul20	$9.56	$9.14	0.42	4.4%

Exchange-traded funds are marked with a plus sign (+) after the ticker symbol. Stocks within 30 days of an earnings announcement are marked with a section symbol (§). My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

7/20 Forex

Two breakouts among the 124 currency pairs I follow, both with weak trends.

I found two parabolic sar phase changes: PLN/CZK to the bull side, and GBP/CAD to the bear side.

Weak-Trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
USD/CAD+		14	jul20	C$0.9481	C$0.9570	0.0089	0.9%
USD/THB		29	jul20	฿29.775	฿29.790	0.015	0.5%

Major currency pairs, which carry lower margin in the United States, are marked with a plus sign (+) after the symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

7/20 Indicators

S&P 500 (SPY): Macd turns bullish.
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): Parabolic sar turns bullish.
Dollar (UUP): Macd turns bearish.

Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

7/20 Almanac

On Wednesday, July 20: Existing home sales.

There are 31 trading days before the August options expire, 59 the September, 94 the October and 122 the November.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

7/19 Top Prospects

One breakout beyond the 55-day price channel among the 600+ stocks and exchange traded funds I screened. It has a strong trend.

Also, one parabolic sar phase change: JOYG, to the bull side. (See my posting about a strategy I'm trying based on the parabolic sar.)

Strong-trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
VE		31	jul18	$24.61	$25.27	0.66	2.7%

Exchange-traded funds are marked with a plus sign (+) after the ticker symbol. Stocks within 30 days of an earnings announcement are marked with a section symbol (§). My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

Looking at factors outside the chart, I'm extremely bearish on VE.

7/19 Indicators

Gold (GLD): Bull trend strengthens to above 20 on the average directional index (adx).

Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM