Tuesday, June 15, 2010

QQQQ Watch

The exchange-traded fund that tracks the Nasdaq 100 (QQQQ) flipped to bull phase Monday on Person's Proprietary Signal. This posting uses the same analysis that I use with forex, and I'll be applying it to a small set of exchange-traded funds going forward.
trendadxpsarppsmacdmacd
trend
stosto
trend
QQQQ $46.65

The signal came on an intra-day decline, but today the price rose by nearly 3%, touching one of the pps moving averages before rising sharply and piercing the midline. This counts as confirmation in terms of pps analysis.

Here's the June monthly pivot lineup: Upper $50.00, mid $45.77, lower $37.15.

The preceding bear phase lasted six trading days and declined 5.1% to the low, and produced a 0.4% loss at the bull signal (open to open).


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Disclaimer
Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.


No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decision decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.

Abbreviations:
  • psar - Parabolic Stop and Reverse
  • adx - Average Directional Index
  • pps - Person's Proprietary Signal
  • ma20 - 20-day moving average
  • macd - Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
  • sto - Fast Stochastic


About the glance: The colors indicate the state of each signal.
  • trend: Determined by the 5-day moving average, green for up, red for down, yellow for sideways
  • adx: orange for above 30-up, blue for 20-down, purple for in the middle. Red is most prone to whipsaws
  • psar, pps, macd: green for bull mode, red for bear
  • sto: green for overbought, red for oversold, yellow for the neutral zone.

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