Thursday, April 1, 2010

4/1 Unanalyzed

Tons of signals today but none are actionable under my rules. "Bummer," says I.

Here's what and why not. Scheduled earnings announcements being too close for my comfort are the main reason for the stocks not meeting my criteria for consideration.

To recap, I don't want earnings to be announced during the term of the options month I'm trading nor for one week after expiration. This basically removes stocks announcing earnings through April 27 or so.

Is this rule to rigid? Could be. Depends upon what I'm trading and my overall comfort level with a stock. If the signal is with the trend on a steeply trending stock, I'd probably break the rule. Counter-trend or weakly trending issues? No way.

The list (* means I own a position the stock or its options):
  • ATVI, bull, earnings are near (5/6)
  • AUY, bull, earnings near (5/5)
  • BRCM, bull, earnings (4/27), marginal adx (27)
  • CENX, bear, earnings (4/20), low adx (11)
  • DTV, bull, earnings (5/6), marginal adx (25)
  • HK, bull, earnings (5/6)
  • HL, bull, earnings (4/28), low adx (10)
  • GDX, bull, low adx (14)
  • GLD, bull, low adx (10)
  • JNJ, bull, earnings (4/20), low adx (18)
  • * JNK, bear, low adx (17)
  • LM, bull, analyst comment, earnings (5/6)
  • MYL, bull, takeover speculation, earnings (4/29)
  • NTAP, bull, analyst comment, earnings (5/20), marginal adx (20)
  • PBI, bear, counter-trend, earnings (5/5)
  • PBR, bull, news of an oil deal with China, earnings (5/11), adx (17)
  • PIR, bull, analyst comment, earnings (4/8), marignal adx (24)
  • RIMM, bear, earnings announcement
  • SKIL, bull, takeover bid sweetened
  • UNG, bull, natural gas inventories news (and a very sharp price rise; the news is now priced in already)
  • XOM, bull, earnings (4/29), low adx (13)
  • XRTX, bull, earnings announcement
  • XTO, bull, in the midst of a takeover by XOM, earnings (5/6), low adx (11)
Abbreviations:
psar - Parabolic Stop and Reverse
adx - Average Directional Index
pps - Person's Proprietary Signal
ma20 - 20-day moving average
macd - Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
mfi - Money Flow Index
sto - Fast Stochastic
 

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