Wednesday, April 28, 2010

4/28 Morningline: Holdings

The Greek debt mini-panic creates several quandaries for my holdings. Nearly all declined yesterday, some took on bear signals, and today they've partially, albeit weakly, recovered.
trendadxpsarppsmacdmacd
trend
stosto
trend
BBY $46.55 bull
CIEN$17.94 bull
GE $18.79 bull
JNK $39.83
MCO $25.40 bull
NLY $16.94 div
PALM $4.66 bull
QQQQ $49.22 bull
At 10:19 a.m. Eastern

So, the question is the same as I posed earlier today: Is a signal inspired by news valid? When I scan for new trades, I treat such signals as invalid, because the news was priced into the stock either prior to or upon the announcement.

How should that work with existing holdings?

At this point, I'm not going to panic out, but will wait and see. I've structured all of my options directional plays so that they can be adjusted easily to a lower basis.

My share holdings, such as MCO, NLY and PALM, are already trashed and have no expiration date, so holding them won't be a problem.

JNK, a dividend play, goes ex-dividend on Monday, so my inclination is to hold it, even though it moved into bear phase yesterday.


Options as a Strategic Investment

Options as a Strategic Investment is a one-stop source of practical information, clearly presented, about the the trader's most important tool for managing risk. This book occupies an important place on my desk.



Abbreviations:
psar - Parabolic Stop and Reverse
adx - Average Directional Index
pps - Person's Proprietary Signal
ma20 - 20-day moving average
macd - Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
mfi - Money Flow Index
sto - Fast Stochastic


About the glance: The colors indicate the state of each signal.

  • trend: Determined by the 5-day moving average, green for up, red for down, yellow for sideways
  • adx: orange for above 30-up, blue for 20-down, purple for in the middle. Red is most prone to whipsaws
  • psar, pps, macd: green for bull mode, red for bear
  • sto: green for overbought, red for oversold, yellow for the neutral zone.


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