Monday, December 7, 2015

Monday's Agenda

The one earnings play on my desk today, HRB, is coming in with implied volatility at 28% of its annual range. Since my guidelines require relative IV of 50% or higher for trades coinciding with earnings announcements, I am striking HRB from my list.

Two symbols were prospects because of trading signals. I'm removing GDX because of implied volatility at 44% of its annual range. My requirement for trading signals is 33% or below, or else 66% or above.

That leaves PM, a bull signal with low low implied volatility and an historical tendency toward bullish whipsaws. I shall post an analysis today.

-- Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, Dec. 7, 2015

References

Tradecraft: Playing the odds to build winning stock market trades from options, a description of how I trade, can be read here.

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Disclaimer
Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the analysis and trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.
No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.
License

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All content on Tim Bovee, Private Trader by Timothy K. Bovee is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Based on a work at www.timbovee.com.

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