Thursday, March 18, 2010

3/18 Watchlist

A stellar day for the Watchlist: A resounding success, an excellent success and a qualified success. Music to a trader's ears. Champagne corks are a-poppin'.

My indicators are marking time 90 minutes before market close, with two exceptions:

Gold (GLD) showed a new psar bull signal, but no corresponding price breakout. The adx, at 11, is deep into whipsaw territory.

trendadxpsarppsmacdsto
GLD $110.42

The euro/dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair showed a new pps bear signal with a corresponding decline to the the 20-day moving average. The adx is 21, which is bit of a whippy level, and the sto is nearing the oversold line.

trendadxpsarppsmacdsto
EUR/USD $1.3622

The watchlist:


Psar bull signal:
  • ADBE, analysis. At $35.78, next reversal point at $36.13.
  • *AOD, analysis. At $9.10, a pullback and a pps bear signal. Next higher reversal at $9.30, next lower at $8.75. It goes ex-div on March 23. The annual dividend, paid monthly, is 15.88%. Last dividend it dropped on ex-div and was back up in three days.
  • GBP/CHF, analysis. New today. At S₣1.6120, next reversal point at S₣1.6291.
  • GBP/USD, analysis. Trading at £1.5239. Next reversal point at £1.5520.


New this week, from the author of Liar's Poker, a look inside the Doomsday Machine.
  • GME, analysis. Gapped up hugely and is now trading at $21.21, or 10.6% above theoretical entry. It has spent much of the day pulling back from its high. Next reversal at $24.10. I'm declaring this signal to be a RESOUNDING SUCCESS. (trumpets, confetti, triumphal march)
  • INTC, analysis 1 2. At $22.13, paused just below its $22.35 high set on Wednesday. I'm declaring this signal a QUALIFIED SUCCESS (the opening was a bit whipsawish).
  • KFT, analysis. Trading at $29.78. Next reversal at $30.10.
  • *WFC, analysis. Pulled back to $30.04, or 8% above theoretical entry. I'm declaring this signal an EXCELLENT SUCCESS.
  • XLE, analysis. At $58.11, a pullback from the theoretical open of $59. I pegged this as a a $56-$60 iron condor, rather than directional, so it's all good.
Psar bear signal:
  • AUD/NZD, analysis. At A$1.2886, slightly but mainly within the prior-day range. Next reversal at A$1.2873.
  • EUR/GBP, analysis. New today. At £0.893, next reversal point at £0.8750.
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Abbreviations:
psar - Parabolic Stop and Reverse
adx - Average Directional Index
pps - Person's Proprietary Signal
ma20 - 20-day moving average
macd - Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
mfi - Money Flow Index
sto - Fast Stochastic

 

About the glances: The colors indicate the state of each signal.

  • trend: green for up, red for down, yellow for sideways
  • adx: green for above 30-up, red for 20-down, yellow for in the middle. Red is most prone to whipsaws
  • psar, pps, macd: green for bull mode, red for bear
  • sto: green for overbought, red for oversold, yellow for the neutral zone.

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