2/16 Channels

• PM breaks out to the upside.
• USO falls past its downside breakout level.
• AXP closes below the breakout level two days running, removed from bull phase.
• PEP on the bear list also runs afoul of the two-day rule, closing above the breakout level the two days after breakout day.

Analysis is based on the market close.

Bull Positions
Added PM on breakout. AXP removed under the two-day rule.

sym	bday	blevel	stop	adx ≥40?	2-day?
AUD/JPY	feb7	¥83.666	¥82.211
AXP	feb11	$46.78	$45.32		x
EBAY	feb1	$31.64	$30.69
EWJ	feb2	$11.25	$10.91
JNK*	feb4	$40.52	$40.20
JNPR	feb4	$38.73	$37.57
NFLX	feb4	$218.00	$211.46
ORCL	jan20	$32.27	$31.30
PM	feb15	$60.14	$58.68		x
WFT	feb1	$24.11	$23.39
XLY	feb7	$38.42	$37.74
tr>	XRT	feb14	$49.81	$48.44		x

Issues that I hold positions in are marked with an asterisk (*). "X" after a symbol means it is slated for removal from the list.

2/16 Watchlist

• Bull plays:
• ORCL, XOM drop into neutrality.
• VAR to bull phase.
• Bear plays:
• JNJ falls from bull phase to neutrality.
• M turns neutral on signal divergence.
• MNKD to bear phase.
• T to bull phase.
• Diversification plays:
• Russia to bear phase (RSX).
• Wounded birds:
• NLY falls from bull phase to neutral on a downward gap following pricing of a public offering.

The Watchlist: Stocks that I’m watching for a variety of reasons. The sections are bull plays, bear plays, diversification, wounded birds and zombies.

2/16 Forex

• USD/CAD rises to neutrality.
• GBP/USD, NZD/USD to bear phase.
• USD/MXN to bull phase.

Analysis is based on the U.S. market close.

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
EUR/USD
AUD/USD
USD/CAD
USD/JPY
GBP/CHF
GBP/USD
EUR/JPY
AUD/JPY
USD/CHF
NZD/USD
USD/MXN

2/16 Morningline

• Treasury long-term debt turns neutral on signal divergence (TLT).

Analysis is based on market close.

Stocks and Rates

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
SPY
QQQQ
VIX
TLT
JNK

2/16 Almanac

On Wednesday, Feb. 16: Producer prices, housing starts, industrial production, Fed minutes.

There are 3 days before the February options expire, 31 the March and 59 the April.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

2/15 Channels

• XRT broke out into bull phase on Monday.
• Added AXP, XLY to the bull positions over the weekend.
• Added BBY, FXI, PEP to the bear positions over the weekend.

Analysis is based on the market close.

Bull Positions
Added AXP, XLY, XRT.

sym	bday	blevel	stop	adx ≥40?	2-day?
AUD/JPY	feb7	¥83.666	¥82.211
AXP	feb11	$46.78	$45.32		x
EBAY	feb1	$31.64	$30.69
EWJ	feb2	$11.25	$10.91
JNK*	feb4	$40.52	$40.20
JNPR	feb4	$38.73	$37.57
NFLX	feb4	$218.00	$211.46
ORCL	jan20	$32.27	$31.30
WFT	feb1	$24.11	$23.39
XLY	feb7	$38.42	$37.74
tr>	XRT	feb14	$49.81	$48.44		x

Issues that I hold positions in are marked with an asterisk (*). "X" after a symbol means it is slated for removal from the list.

2/15 Watchlist

• Bull plays:
• XLE, XOM to bull phase.
• Bear plays:
• CREE, MO to bull phase
• Diversification plays:
• India turns neutral on signal divergence (EPI).

The Watchlist: Stocks that I’m watching for a variety of reasons. The sections are bull plays, bear plays, diversification, wounded birds and zombies.

2/15 Forex

• USD/JPY to bull phase.

Analysis is based on the U.S. market close.

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
EUR/USD
AUD/USD
USD/CAD
USD/JPY
GBP/CHF
GBP/USD
EUR/JPY
AUD/JPY
USD/CHF
NZD/USD
USD/MXN

2/15 Morningline

• Crude oil to bear phase (USO).
• Dollar to bull phase against the yen (USD/JPY).

Analysis is based on market close.

Stocks and Rates

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
SPY
QQQQ
VIX
TLT
JNK

2/15 Almanac

On Tuesday, Feb. 15: Retail sales.

There are 4 days before the February options expire, 32 the March and 60 the April.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

Weekend Postings

Here is what I've posted over the weekend:

• Slow Trading: Indicators & Forex.
• Slow Trading: Watchlist.
• Additions to my price channel analysis lineup.
  

2/13 Channels

An update on my weekend fishing for new channel-analysis candidates.

• Bull breakouts: Added AXP, XLY.
• Bear breakouts: Added BBY, FXI, PEP.
• New tracking as potential bull breakouts: PM, S, SBUX.
• New tracking as potential bear breakouts: EWT, EWZ.

Analysis is based on the market close.

Bull Positions
Added AXP, XLY.

sym	bday	blevel	stop	adx ≥40?	2-day?
AUD/JPY	feb7	¥83.666	¥82.211
AXP	feb11	$46.78	$45.32		x
EBAY	feb1	$31.64	$30.69
EWJ	feb2	$11.25	$10.91
JNK*	feb4	$40.52	$40.20
JNPR	feb4	$38.73	$37.57
NFLX	feb4	$218.00	$211.46
ORCL	jan20	$32.27	$31.30
WFT	feb1	$24.11	$23.39
XLY	feb7	$38.42	$37.74

Issues that I hold positions in are marked with an asterisk (*). "X" after a symbol means it is slated for removal from the list.

Slow Trading: Watchlist

• GRMN shows bull sign on Person's Proprietary Signal (pps); remains neutral as the polarized fractal efficiency line (pfe) remains below 50.
• M pfe switches to bull phase; pfe remains neutral.
• China FTSE 25 turns to neutral phase as pps turns bearish.

Watchlist analysis from the monthly charts. The listings have been completely revised in order to overlap the price channel analysis, done separately on the daily charts.

Slow Trading: Indicators & Forex

• Corporate high-yield bonds maintain early-month bull phase (JNK).

Indicators and Forex analysis from the monthly charts.

My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*). Signal dates are the first day of week in which the signal appeared. Slow trade holdings are listed separately, at the ending of this posting.



Indicators

Stocks and Rates

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
SPY
QQQQ
VIX
TLT
JNK

2/14 Channels

Bull plays:
• CSCO stopped on a large downward gap after a positive earnings surprise leaves trader unconvinced about the company's prospects.
• LLY stopped as it goes ex-div and the company announces changes to the executive line-up.

Nearing potential breakouts:
• Added XRT to the bull list.
• Added USD/CAD to the bear list.

Analysis is based on the market close.

Bull Positions
Stopped: CSCO, LLY.

sym	bday	blevel	stop	adx ≥40?	2-day?
AUD/JPY	feb7	¥83.666	¥82.211
CSCO	feb3	$21.69	$21.27
EBAY	feb1	$31.64	$30.69
EWJ	feb2	$11.25	$10.91
JNK*	feb4	$40.52	$40.20
JNPR	feb4	$38.73	$37.57
LLY	feb3	$35.61	$34.92
NFLX	feb4	$218.00	$211.46		&nbsp
ORCL	jan20	$32.27	$31.30
WFT	feb1	$24.11	$23.39

Issues that I hold positions in are marked with an asterisk (*). "X" after a symbol means it is slated for removal from the list.

2/14 Watchlist

• Bull plays:
• CHRW turns neutral on a signal divergence.
• SO rises to neutrality.
• Bear plays:
• GRMN to bull phase.
• Diversification plays:
• Russia rises to neutral phase (RSX).
• Wounded birds:
• AROW rises to neutral phase.
• Zombies:
• AOD to bull phase.

The Watchlist: Stocks that I’m watching for a variety of reasons. The sections are bull plays, bear plays, diversification, wounded birds and zombies.

2/14 Forex

• USD/CAD to bear phase.

Analysis is based on the U.S. market close.

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
EUR/USD
AUD/USD
USD/CAD
USD/JPY
GBP/CHF
GBP/USD
EUR/JPY
AUD/JPY
USD/CHF
NZD/USD
USD/MXN

2/14 Morningline

• No phase changes among the 10 indicators I track.

Analysis is based on market close.

Stocks and Rates

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
SPY
QQQQ
VIX
TLT
JNK

2/14 Almanac

On Monday, Feb. 14: No econ reports.

There are 5 days before the February options expire, 33 the March and 61 the April.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

2/11 Channels

• VIX has been removed from the bear list for closing above the breakout level the first two days after breakout.

Analysis is based on the market close.

Bull Positions

sym	bday	blevel	stop	adx ≥40?	2-day?
AUD/JPY	feb7	¥83.666	¥82.211
CSCO	feb3	$21.69	$21.27
EBAY	feb1	$31.64	$30.69
EWJ	feb2	$11.25	$10.91
JNK*	feb4	$40.52	$40.20
JNPR	feb4	$38.73	$37.57
LLY	feb3	$35.61	$34.92
NFLX	feb4	$218.00	$211.46		&nbsp
ORCL	jan20	$32.27	$31.30
WFT	feb1	$24.11	$23.39

Issues that I hold positions in are marked with an asterisk (*). "X" after a symbol means it is slated for removal from the list.

2/11 Watchlist

• Bull plays:
• ORCL to bull phase.
• Bear plays:
• GPS, M to bull phase.
• Zombies:
• FNMA turns neutral on signal divergence.

The Watchlist: Stocks that I’m watching for a variety of reasons. The sections are bull plays, bear plays, diversification, wounded birds and zombies.

2/11 Forex

• AUD/USD to neutral phase on signal divergence.

Analysis is based on the U.S. market close.

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
EUR/USD
AUD/USD
USD/CAD
USD/JPY
GBP/CHF
GBP/USD
EUR/JPY
AUD/JPY
USD/CHF
NZD/USD
USD/MXN

2/11 Morningline

• No phase changes among the indicators I follow.

Analysis is based on market close.

Stocks and Rates

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
SPY
QQQQ
VIX
TLT
JNK

2/11 Almanac

On Friday, Feb. 11: International trade, consumer sentiment.

There are 8 days before the February options expire, 36 the March and 64 the April.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

2/10 Channels

A change: I had, rather arbitrarily, been setting the initial stop 5¢ below (bull) or above (bear) the breakthough bar low (bull) or high (bear).

Beginning with this posting I'll set the stop as one average true range unit from the extreme, or 3% from the breakthrough level, whichever is closest to the breakthrough level. This will mean fewer stops, but larger losses in the event of a stop, with 3% as the theoretical maximum loss.

• VIX to bear phase.

Analysis is based on the market close.

Bull Positions

sym	bday	blevel	stop	adx ≥40?	2-day?
AUD/JPY	feb7	¥83.666	¥82.211
CSCO	feb3	$21.69	$21.27
EBAY	feb1	$31.64	$30.69
EWJ	feb2	$11.25	$10.91
JNK*	feb4	$40.52	$40.20
JNPR	feb4	$38.73	$37.57
LLY	feb3	$35.61	$34.92
NFLX	feb4	$218.00	$211.46		&nbsp
ORCL	jan20	$32.27	$31.30
WFT	feb1	$24.11	$23.39

Issues that I hold positions in are marked with an asterisk (*). "X" after a symbol means it is slated for removal from the list.

2/10 Watchlist

• Bull plays:
• CVX, XLE, XOM turn neutral on a signal mismatch.
• GRMN to bull phase.
• ORCL falls to neutrality.
• Bear plays:
• MO rises to neutrallity.
• Wounded birds:
• NLY to bull phase (but it has been whipsawing madly).

The Watchlist: Stocks that I’m watching for a variety of reasons. The sections are bull plays, bear plays, diversification, wounded birds and zombies.

2/10 Forex

• EUR/USD to bear phase.
• GBP/CHF, USD/CHF to bull phase.
• EUR/JPY to neutrality on signal divergence.
• NZD/USD to neutral phase.

Analysis is based on the U.S. market close.

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
EUR/USD
AUD/USD
USD/CAD
USD/JPY
GBP/CHF
GBP/USD
EUR/JPY
AUD/JPY
USD/CHF
NZD/USD
USD/MXN

2/10 Morningline

• Corporate high-yield debt falls into neutrality (JNK).
• Gold moves to bull phase (GLD).
• Euro to bear phase against the dollar (EUR/USD).
• Emerging markets to bear phase (EEM).

Analysis is based on market close.

Stocks and Rates

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
SPY
QQQQ
VIX
TLT
JNK

2/10 Almanac

On Thursday, Feb. 10: Weekly jobless claims.

There are 9 days before the February options expire, 37 the March and 65 the April.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

2/9 Channels

Bull phase:
• Added JNK on a break above the 55-day upper channel.
• EWZ, PBR stopped.
Bear phase:
• M turns neutral on channel break.
• TGT stopped.

Analysis is based on Tuesday's market close.

Bull Positions
Added: AUD/JPY, JNK. Stopped: EWZ, PBR.

sym	bday	blevel	stop	adx ≥40?	2-day?
AUD/JPY	feb7	¥83.666	¥82.973
CSCO	feb3	$21.69	$21.64
EBAY	feb1	$31.64	$30.47
EWJ	feb2	$11.25	$11.16
EWZ	feb4	$71.29	$72.84
JNK*	feb4	$40.52	$40.31
JNPR	feb4	$38.73	$38.49
LLY	feb3	$35.61	$35.24
NFLX	feb4	$218.00	$212.84		&nbsp
ORCL	jan20	$32.27	$31.42
PBR	feb3	$38.54	$37.72
WFT	feb1	$24.11	$23.63

Issues that I hold positions in are marked with an asterisk (*). "X" after a symbol means it is slated for removal from the list.

2/9 Watchlist

• Bull plays:
• CTSH to bull phase upon earnings release.
• DECK, PAYX to bull phase.
• VAR, XLP turn neutral on signal divergence.
• Bear plays:
• ABT, AMR, T turn neutral on signal divergence.
• DELL to bull phase.
• JNJ, M, MNKD rise to neutrality.
• Diversification plays:
• Russia falls to neutrality (RSX).
• Emerging markets to bear phase (VWO).

The Watchlist: Stocks that I’m watching for a variety of reasons. The sections are bull plays, bear plays, diversification, wounded birds and zombies.

2/9 Forex

• USD/CAD to bull phase.
• USD/JPY, USD/MXN rise to neutrality.
• GBP/USD turns neutral on signal divergence.
• EUR/JPY falls to bear phase.

Analysis is based on Tuesday's U.S. market close.

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
EUR/USD
AUD/USD
USD/CAD
USD/JPY
GBP/CHF
GBP/USD
EUR/JPY
AUD/JPY
USD/CHF
NZD/USD
USD/MXN

2/9 Morningline

• Fear index to bear phase (bullish for the market) (VIX).
• Dollar turns neutral against the yen (USD/JPY).

Analysis is based on Tuesday's market close.

Stocks and Rates

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
SPY
QQQQ
VIX
TLT
JNK

2/9 Almanac

On Wednesday, Feb. 9: Petroleum inventories.

There are 10 days before the February options expire, 38 the March and 66 the April.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

Weekend Postings

For the weekend I've posted the two Slow Trading reports, and also updates to my price channel analysis.

• Slow Trading: Indicators and Forex
• Slow Trading: Watchlist
• 2/5 Channels

2/5 Channels

The weekend revisions of the my price channels analysis, with seven additions to and one removal from the bull positions section, and one addition to the bear positions section.

Bull Positions
Added: CSCO, EWJ, EWZ, JNPR, LLY, PBR, WFT. Stopped: WMT.

sym	bday	blevel	stop	adx ≥40?	2-day?
CSCO	feb3	$21.69	$21.64		x
EBAY	feb1	$31.64	$30.47
EWJ	feb2	$11.25	$11.16
EWZ	feb4	$71.29	$72.84		x
JNPR	feb4	$38.73	$38.49		x
LLY	feb3	$35.61	$35.24		x
ORCL	jan20	$32.27	$31.42
PBR	feb3	$38.54	$37.72		x
WFT	feb1	$24.11	$23.63
WMT	jan20	$55.72	$55.07

Issues that I hold positions in are marked with an asterisk (*). "X" after a symbol means it is slated for removal from the list.

Slow Trading: Watchlist

As it is early in the month, the February changes are quite preliminary and are liable to change as the month moves forward.

• ORCL to bull phase, ending six months in neutrality.
• ABT bear phase ends eight month fall through neutrality.
• China to bull phase after staying neutral for 10 (FXI).
• Emerging markets fund returns to bull phase (EWO).

Watchlist analysis from the monthly charts. The listings have been completely revised in order to overlap the price channel analysis, done separately on the daily charts.

Slow Trading: Indicators and Forex

As it is early in the month, the February changes are quite preliminary and are liable to change as the month moves forward.

• Corporate high-yield debt to bull phase, ending three months of neutrality (JNK).
• Gold falls into neutrality after four months in bull phase (GLD).

Indicators and Forex analysis from the monthly charts.

My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*). Signal dates are the first day of week in which the signal appeared. Slow trade holdings are listed separately, at the ending of this posting.



Indicators

Stocks and Rates

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
SPY
QQQQ
VIX
TLT
JNK

2/7-2/8 Almanac

The Almanac won't be posted on Monday as I shall be en route to Japan. Today's posting covers both Monday's and Tuesday's economic releases. See below for other changes to the daily posting schedule for the two week's that I'll be abroad.

There are no significant econ releases on Monday, Feb. 7 and Tuesday, Feb. 8.

Monday marks 15 days before the February options expire, 43 the March and 71 the April.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

2/4 Channels

• Bear plays: MO stopped, T eliminated under 2-day rule.

Bull Positions

sym	bday	blevel	stop	adx ≥40?	2-day?
EBAY	feb1	$31.64	$30.47
ORCL	jan20	$32.27	$31.42
WMT	jan20	$55.72	$55.07

Issues that I hold positions in are marked with an asterisk (*). "X" after a symbol means it is slated for removal from the list.

2/4 Watchlist

• Bull plays:
• GRMN turns neutral on signal divergence.
• PAYX falls to neutral phase.
• Bear plays:
• MO to neutrality on signal divergence.
• Wounded birds:
• FTR to bull phase.
• Zombies:
• NLY drops to neutrality contrary to a huge upside earnings surprise.

The Watchlist: Stocks that I’m watching for a variety of reasons. The sections are bull plays, bear plays, diversification, wounded birds and zombies.

2/4 Forex

• USD/CAD to bear phase.
• NZD/USD ghosts back in bull phase following yesterday's bearish ghost signal.

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
EUR/USD
AUD/USD
USD/CAD
USD/JPY
GBP/CHF
GBP/USD
EUR/JPY
AUD/JPY
USD/CHF
NZD/USD
USD/MXN

2/4 Morningline

• Gold rises to neutral phase (GLD).

Stocks and Rates

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
SPY
QQQQ
VIX
TLT
JNK

2/4 Almanac

On Friday, Feb. 4: Unemployment.

There are 15 days before the February options expire, 43 the March and 71 the April.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

Posting Schedule

I shall be travelling in Japan for two weeks beginning on Sunday. This means my posting schedule will be changed during that period to account for the ungodly U.S. market hours when seen from East Asia. (New York opens at 11:30 p.m. and closes at 6 a.m., Japan time.)

I'll file the Almanac after the market close at 4 p.m. Eastern U.S. time, and follow that will the Morningline, Forex, Watchlist and Channels analysis for the following day based on the close.

Monday, Feb. 7, is a travel day and I shall not file at all.

This differs from my normal practice of filing the analytical pieces beginning about 15 minutes after the open. It will be interesting to see whether that makes a significant difference. My best guess: Probably not much.

Things will be back to normal on Feb. 22.

2/3 Channels

• TGT, TLT to bull phase (TLT is a very weak breakout).
• One bull stop, two bear stops, and bear play MNKD sees an adx decline while above 40, an exit sign.

Bull Positions
EUR/USD stopped.

sym	bday	blevel	stop	adx ≥40?	2-day?
EBAY	feb1	$31.64	$30.47		x
EUR/USD (X)	feb1	US$1.37851	US$1.3679		x
ORCL	jan20	$32.27	$31.42
WMT	jan20	$55.72	$55.07

Issues that I hold positions in are marked with an asterisk (*). "X" after a symbol means it is slated for removal from the list.

2/3 Watchlist

• Bull plays:
• CHRW whipsaws to bear phase on earnings non-surprise.
• GOOG to neutrality.
• PAYX to bull phase.
• Bear plays:
• CREE, DELL rise to neutrality.
• GPS to neutrality on signal divergence.
• Diversification plays:
• Russia to bull phase (RSX).
• Zombies:
• AOD rises to neutrality.

The Watchlist: Stocks that I’m watching for a variety of reasons. The sections are bull plays, bear plays, diversification, wounded birds and zombies.

2/3 Forex

• EUR/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD to neutrality on signal divergence.
• AUD/JPY to bull phase.
• USD/MXN to bear phase.

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
EUR/USD
AUD/USD
USD/CAD
USD/JPY
GBP/CHF
GBP/USD
EUR/JPY
AUD/JPY
USD/CHF
NZD/USD
USD/MXN

2/3 Morningline

• S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 to bull phase (SPY, QQQQ).
• Euro moves to neutrality against the dollar on a signal divergence (EUR/USD).
• Emerging markets rise to neutrality (EEM).

Stocks and Rates

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
SPY
QQQQ
VIX
TLT
JNK

2/3 Almanac

On Thursday, Feb. 3: Weekly jobless claims.

There are 16 days before the February options expire, 44 the March and 72 the April.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

2/2 Channels

• EBAY, EUR/USD to bull phase.

Bull Positions
Added EBAY, EUR/USD.

sym	bday	blevel	stop	adx ≥40?	2-day?
EBAY	feb1	$31.64	$30.47		x
EUR/USD	feb1	US$1.37851	US$1.3679		x
ORCL	jan20	$32.27	$31.42
WMT	jan20	$55.72	$55.07

Issues that I hold positions in are marked with an asterisk (*).

2/2 Watchlist

• Bull plays:
• GOOG, GRMN, VAR to bear phase.
• CHRW to neutrality.
• Bear plays:
• M, MO added to Watchlist.
• Diversification plays:
• Emerging markets etf rises to neutral phase (VWO).
• Wounded birds:
• NLY to bull phase.

The Watchlist: Stocks that I’m watching for a variety of reasons. The sections are bull plays, bear plays, diversification, wounded birds and zombies.

2/2 Forex

• USD/CAD falls into neutality.

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
EUR/USD
AUD/USD
USD/CAD
USD/JPY
GBP/CHF
GBP/USD
EUR/JPY
AUD/JPY
USD/CHF
NZD/USD
USD/MXN

2/2 Morningline

• Fear index falls to neutrality (VIX).

Stocks and Rates

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
SPY
QQQQ
VIX
TLT
JNK

2/2 Almanac

On Wednesday, Feb. 2: Treasury borrowing, employment preview, petroleum inventory.

There are 17 days before the February options expire, 45 the March and 73 the April.

On the jump, market stats, econ reports, and the trading calendar . . .

EGPT Watch

Egypt has an exchange-traded fund (EGPT) which got hammered with a 22% decline from the Jan. 18 high and has, in the last four trading days, recovered by 14%.

Talk about volatility.

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
EGPT

2/1 Channels

• M promoted to bear phase.
• Bear plays stopped: ATVI, BBD, EWZ, WIN, XRX return to neutrality

Bull Positions

sym	bday	blevel	stop	adx ≥40?	2-day?
ORCL	jan20	$32.27	$31.42
WMT	jan20	$55.72	$55.07

Issues that I hold positions in are marked with an asterisk (*).

2/1 Watchlist

• Bull plays:
• CVX, MCO, MU, ORCL to bull phase.
• SO to bear phase.
• DECK to neutrality.
• Bear plays:
• T to bear phase.
• WIN to neutrality.
• Wounded birds:
• FTR, NLY to neutrality.
• Zombies:
• AOD to bear phase.

The Watchlist: Stocks that I’m watching for a variety of reasons. The sections are bull plays, bear plays, diversification, wounded birds and zombies.

2/1 Forex

• AUD/USD, GBP/USD, NZD/USD to bull phase.
• USD/JPY to bear phase.
• GBP/CHF, AUD/JPY, USD/MXN to neutrality.

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
EUR/USD
AUD/USD
USD/CAD
USD/JPY
GBP/CHF
GBP/USD
EUR/JPY
AUD/JPY
USD/CHF
NZD/USD
USD/MXN

2/1 Morningline

• Fear index to bull phase (VIX).
• Treasury long-term bonds to bear phase (TLT).
• Corporate high-yield debt whipsaws back to bull phase (JNK).
• Dollar whipsaws back to bear phase in trading against the yen (USD/JPY).

Stocks and Rates

	phase		pfe	pps	trend
SPY
QQQQ
VIX
TLT
JNK