Thursday, August 11, 2011

8/11 Indicators (pre-New York open)

Prior to the New York open, many indicators that moved to bull price-channel phase have returned to neutral as prices closed within the channel for two consecutive days. The indicators are: S&P 500 (SPY), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), fear index (QQQ), corporate high-yield debt (JNK) and emerging markets (EEM). The bear trend in crude oil (USO) strengthened to above 20 on the average directional index (adx). Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6. Stocks
sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd
SPY  
 
QQQ  
 
VIX  
 
Bonds
sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd
TLT  
 
JNK  
 
Tangibles
sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd
USO  
 
GLD  
 
Global
sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd
UUP  
 
EEM  
 
Indicator Exchange-Traded Fund Symbols: EEM - emerging markets GLD - gold JNK - high-yield corporate bonds QQQQ - Nasdaq 100 index SPY - S&P 500 index TLT - Treasury long-term bonds USO - crude oil UUP - U.S. dollar index VIX - fear index Key
  • chan: 55-day price channel phase, with green for bull trend, red for bear trend and yellow for neutral trend. I use the base rule for phase changes: A 55-day channel phase continues until the price has crossed beyond the opposite 20-day channel boundary.
  • adx: Average directional index location, indicating the strength, or the temperature, of the trend. Orange for 40 or greater, aqua (light blue) for 25 and up but below 40, magenta (light purple) for 20 and up but below 25, and brown for anything below 20. (Mnemonic: Orange for the overhead sun, blue for the surrounding sky, magenta for sunset on the horizon and brown for the earth.)
  • adx tr: Average directional index trend, indicating whether the trend is strengthening or weakening. Green for strengthening (up), red for weakening (down), yellow for unchanging (yellow).
  • psar: The parabolic sar, either green for bullish or red for bearish.
  • macd: The macd, either green for bullish or red for bearish.
About channel analysis Read a detailed explanation of my channel analysis method, including trading rules. Disclaimer
Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the analysis and trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment. No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decision decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.
The trader’s greatest sin is inaction. Sleeper, awake! Seize the Nietzchean moment. Roll out of bed and trade.

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