8/31 Indicators

Fear index (VIX): Parabolic sar turns bearish in a three-day whipsaw.

Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

Stocks

sym	phase	adx	adx tr		psar	macd
SPY
QQQ
VIX

Bonds

sym	phase	adx	adx tr		psar	macd
TLT
JNK

Tangibles

sym	phase	adx	adx tr		psar	macd
USO
GLD

Global

sym	phase	adx	adx tr		psar	macd
UUP
EEM

8/31 Forex

There are no breakouts among the 14 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule, and no parabolic sar changes.

Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

8/30 Indicators

S&P 500 (SPY): Parabolic sar turns bullish.

Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

Stocks

sym	phase	adx	adx tr		psar	macd
SPY
QQQ
VIX

Bonds

sym	phase	adx	adx tr		psar	macd
TLT
JNK

Tangibles

sym	phase	adx	adx tr		psar	macd
USO
GLD

Global

sym	phase	adx	adx tr		psar	macd
UUP
EEM

8/30 Forex

There are no breakouts among the 14 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule.

I found no parabolic sar phase changes.

Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

8/29 Indicators

Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): Parabolic sar, macd turn bullish.

Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

Stocks

sym	phase	adx	adx tr		psar	macd
SPY
QQQ
VIX

Bonds

sym	phase	adx	adx tr		psar	macd
TLT
JNK

Tangibles

sym	phase	adx	adx tr		psar	macd
USO
GLD

Global

sym	phase	adx	adx tr		psar	macd
UUP
EEM

8/29 Forex

There are no breakouts among the 14 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule.

I found these parabolic sar phase changes:

… to the bull side: EUR/GBP

… to the bear side: USD/CAD (one-day whipsaw)

Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

8/26 Indicators

Today’s scan was done after release Fed Chairman Ben Barnanke’s much anticipated address at the Jackson Hole, Wyo. conference. Bernanke neither announced nor ruled out QE3 -- a third round of quantitative easing aimed at avoiding a double-dip recession by making more money available to the economy.

Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): Macd turns bearish.

Fear index (VIX): Parabolic sar turns bullish.

Corporate high-yield debt (JNK): Macd turns (barely) bearish.

U.S. dollar (UUP): Parabolic sar, macd turn bullish.

Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

Stocks

sym	phase	adx	adx tr		psar	macd
SPY
QQQ
VIX

Bonds

sym	phase	adx	adx tr		psar	macd
TLT
JNK

Tangibles

sym	phase	adx	adx tr		psar	macd
USO
GLD

Global

sym	phase	adx	adx tr		psar	macd
UUP
EEM

8/26 Forex Update

No new signals on 14 major currency pairs following the release of Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's Jackson Hole, Wyo., speech. The news lay in what Bernanke didn't say. He didn't announce a third round of quantitative easing to stop the economy from falling anew into recession. (Of course, he didn't rule QE3 out, either.)

Posting Schedule

I'll post Friday's Indicators after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke concludes his remarks at the Fed's Jackson Hole, Wyo. conference.

He is scheduled to begin speaking at 10 a.m. Eastern.

8/26 Forex

Prior to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's much-anticipated Jackson Hole, Wyo. address, there are no breakouts among the 14 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule. I'll sweep through the charts again after Bernanke's remarks, which are scheduled to begin at 10 a.m. Eastern.

I found these parabolic sar phase changes:

… to the bull side: USD/CAD

… to the bear side: GBP/USD

Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

8/25 Indicators

(Apologies for the malformed page; Google's Blogger is having problems.)

S&P 500 (SPY), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): Macd turns bullish. Fear index (VIX): Macd turns bearish. Treasury long-term bonds (TLT): Price-channel phase returns to neutral; parabolic sar, macd turn bearish. Corporate high-yield debt (JNK): Macd turns bullish. Crude oil (USO): Macd turns bullish. Gold (GLD): Price channel phase returns to neutral; macd turns bearish. Emerging markets (EEM): Macd turns bullish. Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6. Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

8/25 Forex

There are no breakouts among the 14 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule. I found no parabolic sar phase changes. Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

8/24 Indicators

Gold (GLD): Parabolic sar turns bearish. Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6. Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

8/24 Forex

There are no breakouts among the 14 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule. I found no parabolic sar phase changes. Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

8/23 Indicators (pre-New York open)

Treasury 30-year bonds (TLT), gold (GLD) break above price channel into bull phase. Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6. I won’t post on Aug. 23, which is a travel day. Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

8/22 Forex (London open)

There are no breakouts among the 14 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule. I found no parabolic sar phase changes. Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6. I won't post on Aug. 23, which is a travel day.

8/18 Indicators (pre-New York open)

U.S. dollar (UUP) turns to bear phase, breaking below the 55-day price channel; macd turns bearish. Fear index (VIX): Macd turns bearish. Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6. Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

8/18 Forex (London open)

There are no breakouts among the 14 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule. I found these parabolic sar phase changes: … to the bull side: AUD/JPY, NZD/USD … to the bear side: EUR/NOK, USD/NOK Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

8/17 Indicators (pre-New York open)

S&P 500 (SPY), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), corporate high-yield debt (JNK), crude oil (USO): Parabolic sar turns bullish. Fear index (VIX): Parabolic sar turns bearish. Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6. Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

8/17 Forex (London open)

(I did no 8/16 postings because of technical problems.) At the London open, there are no breakouts among the 14 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule. I found these parabolic sar phase changes within the last three two full trading days: … to the bull side: AUD/USD, EUR/USD and GBP/USD, … to the bear side: USD/CAD. Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

8/15 Indicators (pre-New York open)

Gold (GLD) turns from price-channel bull phase to neutrality. S&P 500 (SPY): Parabolic sar turns bullish. Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6. Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

8/15 Forex (London open)

An hour past the London open, there are no breakouts among the 14 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule. I found no parabolic sar phase changes. Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

8/12 Indicators

Prior to the New York open, Treasury long-term bonds (TLT) and crude oil (USO) returned to neutrality on the price-channel. Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6. Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

8/12 Forex (London open)

There are no price-channel breakouts among the 14 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule. I found three parabolic sar phase changes, all to the bull side, against the Swiss franc: USD/CHF, EUR/CHF and GBP/CHF Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

8/11 Indicators (pre-New York open)

Prior to the New York open, many indicators that moved to bull price-channel phase have returned to neutral as prices closed within the channel for two consecutive days. The indicators are: S&P 500 (SPY), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), fear index (QQQ), corporate high-yield debt (JNK) and emerging markets (EEM). The bear trend in crude oil (USO) strengthened to above 20 on the average directional index (adx). Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6. Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

9/11 Forex (London open)

There are no price-channel breakouts among the 14 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule,. The parabolic sar on USD/JPY turned bearish before trading opened in London.

8/10 Indicators (pre-New York open)

Status of indicators prior to the start of trading in New York. Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6. Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

8/10 Forex (London open)

At the start of London trading, there are no breakouts among the 14 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule. I found one parabolic sar phase change, EUR/GBP, to the bull side. Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

8/9 Indicators (pre-New York open)

Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): Bear trend strengthens as average directional index (adx) tops 25. Emerging markets (EEM): Bear trend strength stops 20 on the adx. Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6. Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

8/9 Forex (London open)

I found no price-channel breakouts among the 14 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule, xxx with strong trends. (I've added USD/NOK and EUR/NOK to the currencies I'm monitoring in August.) I found no parabolic sar phase changes. Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

Posting Schedule

A change of plans in my posting schedule while traveling in Asia during August posting schedule. I'll post the daily Forex and Indicators reports within an hour or two after forex trading opens in London, at midnight U.S. Eastern time. This allows me to hit a more significant trading period than my prior plan of posting at the opening of the East Asian markets.

8/8 Forex (London open)

At the London open, there are no breakouts among the 12 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule. There are no parabolic sar phase changes so far today. Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

8/5 Forex (week's close)

There is one breakout among the 12 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule.

I found these parabolic sar phase changes:

… to the bull side: USD/JPY

… to the bear side: EUR/USD and GBP/USD.

Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

Weak-Trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
AUD/USD+		16	aug5	US$1.0391	US$1.0528	0.0137	1.3%

Major currency pairs, which carry lower margin in the United States, are marked with a plus sign (+) after the symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

8/5 Indicators (close)

“Excellent time you picked to be out of the markets,” wrote a friend. As it turns out, Thursday’s price collapsed was well signalled in advance of the move. Only the magnitude was surprising.

The S&P 500 (SPY) bear trend, which was signalled on Wednesday, a day before Thursday’s dramatic price decline, strengthened to above 25 on the average directional index (adx).

The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) broke below the price channel into bear phase.

The fear index (VIX), a volatility measure, broke beyond the price channel into bull phase.

Treasury long-term debt (TLT): It’s bull phase strengthened to above 20 on the adx.

Corporate high-yield debt (JNK), crude oil (USO) and emerging markets (EEM) moved to price channel bear phase.

Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

Posting Schedule

Thursday is a trans-Pacific travel day for me, so I won't be posting.

Beginning Friday, I shall post on a Tokyo schedule for several weeks. The Forex and U.S. market Indicators reports will be posted later than 2 p.m. Eastern, after the U.S. stock markets close and as the East Asian forex markets are opening after trading opens in London, at midnight U.S. Eastern time.

Here is a description of Private Trader's limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

8/3 Indicators

The S&P 500 (SPY) broke below the 55-day price channel into bear phase.

The fear index (VIX) dropped from bull phase into neutrality after trading entirely within the price channel for two consecutive days.

Emerging markets (EEM): Parabolic sar turns bearish.

Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

8/3 Forex

There is one breakout among the 12 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule. It has a weak trend.

I found these parabolic sar phase changes, to the bear side: AUD/USD and NZD/USD.

Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

Weak-Trend Breakouts

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
AUD/JPY+		17	aug3	¥83.102	¥84.319	1.217	1.5%

Major currency pairs, which carry lower margin in the United States, are marked with a plus sign (+) after the symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

8/2 Indicators

Corporate high-yield debt (JNK), Crude oil (USO), emerging markets (EEM): Macd turns bearish.

Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

8/2 Forex

There are no breakouts among the 12 currency pairs that I'm following under my August vacation schedule.

I found one parabolic sar phase change, to the bear side: EUR/GBP.

Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

8/1 Indicators

Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) returns to price-channel neutrality; parabolic sar turned bearish late Friday.

The fear index (VIX) and Treasury long-term debt (TLT): Both moved to price-channel bull phase on in intra-day trading on Friday, and both pulled back below the channel boundary that same day. And both gapped down significantly at today’s open. The TLT parabolic sar and macd turned bullish on Friday

Crude oil (USO): The parabolic sar turned to bear phase in late trading Friday.

Gold (GLD): The present bull trend has strengthened, with the average directional index (adx) moving above 25.

The U.S. dollar (UUP) has returned from bear phase to neutrality, having closed for two days within the price channel.

VIX and TLT, among my indicators, are the most sensitive to political risk in the present U.S. debt crisis and its resolution, so traders are deeply into whipsaw territory and I for one shall not take any of these signals as indicating trends.

My debt-crisis play was to go short the U.S. dollar, long the Swiss franc, short SPY and long GLD. Gold didn’t pan out -- my position was stopped out early -- and I’ve unwound my other debt-crisis positions for a nice profit.

Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.

Stocks

sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd SPY     QQQ     VIX     Bonds sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd TLT     JNK     Tangibles sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd USO     GLD     Global sym phase adx adx tr   psar macd UUP     EEM

8/1 Forex

There are no breakouts among the 12 currency pairs that I'm following under my vacation schedule.

I found one parabolic sar change, GBP/JPY, to the bull side.

Private Trader will be on a limited vacation schedule through Labor Day, Sept. 6.