- CA, bear, low adx (16), earnings are near (5/13), move on news that the company is cutting jobs. This signal follows a one-day bull whipsaw.
- CBS, bull, low adx (14), earnings near (5/5)
- CMC, bull, low adx (17), movement on takeover rumors
- CNX, bull, marginal adx (26), earnings near (4/22)
- CPBY, bull, low adx (13), earnings near (5/11), news of a business deal causes a huge (30%+) gap
- CVS, bear, marginal adx (22), earnings near (5/4)
- CX, bull, low adx (17), earnings near (4/27)
- DD, bull, earnings near (4/27), move on analyst comment
- FHN, bear, marginal adx (27), earnings near (4/16)
- HBAN, bull, marginal adx (22), earnings near (4/22)
- MEE, bear, marginal adx (25), earnings near (4/27), gapped down on news of a coal mine explosion in West Virginia
- MPEL, bull, earnings near (5/20), move on analyst comment
- NOK, bear, earnings near (4/22), signal is counter-trend
- STI, bull, earnings near (4/21), move on analyst comment
- TNK, bear, movement on news that a share offering was priced at a discount
- USB, bull, earnings near (4/20), move on analyst comment
- VLO, bull, marginal adx (28), earnings near (4/27)
- WFC, bull, earnings near (4/21)
- ZION, bull, earnings near (4/19)
Stalking the Black Swan: Research and Decision Making in a World of Extreme Volatility
Market analyst Kenneth Posner creates a new framework for managing extreme risk based on lessons learned in the recent collapse of capitalist finance.
My tendencies are these:
- I like for earnings, at this point, no closer than a week or two past expiration of the May options, which I'm trading now
- I like an adx of 30 or above to minimize whipsaws
- I like the signal to be in the direction of the main trend
- I don't like to trade stocks that have moved based on published rumors or news
Abbreviation: adx - Average Directional Index
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