Here are the signals I rejected, and why:
- ANF, bear, counter-trend
- BRCD, bull, takeover rumors
- JCP, bear, counter-trend, same-store sales, new guidance
- TGT, bull, same-store sales, guidance
- VLO, bear, news of an operating site coming on line
- XLI, bear, counter-trend.
Market analyst Kenneth Posner creates a new framework for managing extreme risk based on lessons learned in the recent collapse of capitalist finance.
My policy is to not trade stocks if earnings will be released during the lifetime of the current options, into mid-may May at this point. And best case, I like for earnings to be a couple of weeks beyond options expiration.
With earnings near, the likelihood of a news surprise is just too great for my taste.
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