5/19 Top Prospects

Five breakouts beyond the 55-day price channel among the 300+ stocks and exchange trade funds I screened.

sym	phase	adx	bday	blevel	stop	atr	atr%
LCC		32	may19	$10.10	$9.65	0.45	4.5%
MBI		16	may19	$8.88	$9.27	0.39	4.4%
MGM		27	may19	$15.15	$14.58	3.7	3.8%
YUM		26	may18	$55.39	$54.51	0.88	1.6%
VNM+		23	may19	$22.42	$22.91	0.49	2.2%

Exchange-traded funds are marked with a plus sign (+) after the ticker symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

VRSN broke above the 55-day price channel but with a declining average direction index (adx), which invalidates the phase change.

YUM saw its adx turn up after breaking out Wednesday with an adx decline. The price remains above the breakout level, and so the breakout is now validated.

VNM is one of the Next 11 emerging markets.


Key

• phase: Green for a bull-phase breakout, red for a bear phase.
• adx: Average direction index location, indicating the strength, or the temperature, of the trend. Orange for 40 or greater, aqua (light blue) for 30 and up but below 40, magenta (light purple) for 20 and up but below 30, and brown for anything below 20. (Mnemonic: Orange for the overhead sun, blue for the surrounding sky, purple for sunset on the horizon and brown for the earth.)
• bday: Breakout day, the day the price broke through the upper or lower 55-day price line.
• blevel: Breakout level, the price level of the line that was broken through.
• bstop: The stop/loss price calculated on breakout days as the 14-day average true range below the breakout-day low for a bull phase and above thre breakout-day high for a bear phase.
• atr: The 14-day average true range, in the same currency as the price.
• atr%: The average true range as a percentage of the breakout level, an indicator of volatility that is comparable for all potential trades.

About channel analysis

Read a detailed explanation of my channel analysis method, including trading rules.