Wednesday, May 11, 2011

5/11 Forex

Four new breakouts among the 124 currency pairs I follow.

It was an all złoty show, as the breakouts universally resulted from Poland’s currency dropping sharply against the euro and several other avatars of more robust economies.

Oddly, the złoty barely blipped against the U.S. dollar, possibly putting the world’s reserve currency and Poland’s decidedly local currency in the same league.

sym phase adx bday blevel stop atr atr%
DKK/PLN  
12
may11 zł0.5252 zł0.5285 0.0033 0.6%
EUR/PLN  
10
may11 zł3.9177 zł3.9428 0.0251 0.6%
PLN/CZK  
13
may11 zł6.1985 zł6.2070 0.0455 0.7%
SEK/PLN  
20
may11 zł0.4342 0.4380 0.9%

AUD/PLN broke above the price channel but fails on two points: The average directional index (adx) is declining, and the price upon breakout diverges, falling intra-day.

GBP/SGD broke below the channel, but with a strong intra-day rise that negates the signal.

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