Friday, May 14, 2010

5/14 Morningline: Other Indicators

In other indicators, everything is down except gold, which is up just a bit. Crude oil is down by a full 2%. High-yield corporate debt -- junk bonds -- is also down, by more than a percent.
trendadxpsarppsmacdmacd
trend
stosto
trend
JNK $38.24
GLD $121.22
USO $35.53
EEM $39.66
EUR/USD $1.2447
USD/JPY ¥92.28
At 10:12 a.m. Eastern

This is the same pattern that held sway in the markets during the period of maximum fear of a Greek default on sovereign debt.

Lower oil prices because the dollar, in which oil is denominated, will buy more. Declining belief that less creditworthy American corporations will be able to pay their debts. Gold as a haven for value.

We've seen this all before -- just last week. It was fun the first time around, but a second time? It ceases to amuse.

Indicator Exchange-Traded Fund Symbols:
EEM - emerging markets
EUR/USD - euro/dollar currency pair
GLD - gold
JNK - high-yield corporate bonds
SPY - blue-chip stocks
TLT - Treasury long-term bonds
USD/JPY - dollar/yen currency pair
USO - crude oil
VIX - fear index



The Investor's Guide to Active Asset Allocation: Using Technical Analysis and ETFs to Trade the Markets

Martin Pring's detailed deconstruction of the economic cycle: What sorts stocks to look for at each stage of the recovery. A masterful analysis.



Skynet Panic of May 6
Panic Looks Like This
Skynet Panic Poisons Technical Tools


Abbreviations:
psar - Parabolic Stop and Reverse
adx - Average Directional Index
pps - Person's Proprietary Signal
ma20 - 20-day moving average
macd - Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
mfi - Money Flow Index
sto - Fast Stochastic


About the glance: The colors indicate the state of each signal.
  • trend: Determined by the 5-day moving average, green for up, red for down, yellow for sideways
  • adx: orange for above 30-up, blue for 20-down, purple for in the middle. Red is most prone to whipsaws
  • psar, pps, macd: green for bull mode, red for bear
  • sto: green for overbought, red for oversold, yellow for the neutral zone.


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