Friday, September 9, 2011

9/9 Forex

There are six price-channel breakouts among the 124 currency pairs I follow, 13 with strong trends.

Strong-Trend Breakouts

sym phase adx bday blevel stop atr atr%
AUD/CZK  
28
sep9 Kč 18.569 Kč 18.340 0.229 1.2%
DKK/HUF  
31
sep9 Ft 37.438 Ft 36.978 0.460 1.2%
EUR/HUF  
35
sep9 Ft 279.02 Ft 275.66 3.36 1.2%
NZD/HUF  
25
sep9 Ft 166.54 Ft 163.56 2.98 1.8%
PLN/CZK  
45
sep8 Kč 5.7005 Kč 5.7612 0.0607 1.1%
PLN/JPY  
32
sep8 ¥25.392 ¥25.914 0.522 2.1%

Major currency pairs, which carry lower margin in the United States, are marked with a plus sign (+) after the symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

Weak-Trend Breakouts

sym phase adx bday blevel stop atr atr%
CZK/JPY  
16
sep9 ¥4.396 ¥4.372 0.068 1.6%
EUR/HKD  
23
sep9 HK$10.7884 HK$10.7325 0.1298 1.2%
EUR/USD+*  
17
sep9 US$1.3837 US$1.4007 0.0170 1.2%
GBP/CZK  
17
sep9 Kč 28.276 Kč 27.948 0.328 1.2%
GBP/HUF  
20
sep9 Ft 319.51 Ft 314.15 5.36 1.7%
USD/CZK  
21
sep9 Kč 17.529 Kč 17.274 0.255 1.5%
USD/DKK+*  
22
sep9 Dkr 5.3888 Dkr 5.3264 0.0624 1.2%

Major currency pairs, which carry lower margin in the United States, are marked with a plus sign (+) after the symbol. My holdings are marked with an asterisk (*).

Key

  • phase: Green for a bull-phase breakout, red for a bear phase.
  • adx: Average direction index location, indicating the strength, or the temperature, of the trend. Orange for 40 or greater, aqua (light blue) for 25 and up but below 40, magenta (light purple) for 20 and up but below 25, and brown for anything below 20. (Mnemonic: Orange for the overhead sun, blue for the surrounding sky, magenta for sunset on the horizon and brown for the earth.)
  • bday: Breakout day, the day the price broke through the upper or lower 55-day price line.
  • blevel: Breakout level, the price level of the line that was broken through.
  • bstop: The stop/loss price calculated on breakout days as the 14-day average true range below the breakout-day low for a bull phase and above thre breakout-day high for a bear phase.
  • atr: The 14-day average true range, in the same currency as the price.
  • atr%: The average true range as a percentage of the breakout level, an indicator of volatility that is comparable for all potential trades.

About channel analysis

Read a detailed explanation of my channel analysis method, including trading rules.

The trader’s greatest sin is inaction. Sleeper, awake! Seize the Nietzchean moment. Roll out of bed and trade.

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