Monday, April 12, 2010

Euro Jubilation

They're dancing in the forex pits of the euro zone now that the Greek debt crisis is resolved.
trendadxpsarppsmacdmacd
trend
stosto
trend
EUR/USD US$1.3602
EUR/CAD C$1.3625
EUR/GBP £0.8845

Or at the least, over-caffeinated forex traders in dozens of time zones are frantically clicking their mice to help pin new parabolic SAR bull signals on EUR/whatever currency pair charts.


The euro is showing bull signals against the U.S. dollar (EUR/USD), Canadian dollar (EUR/CAD) and British pounds (EUR/GBP). I'll be tracking all three on the Watchlist, although the signals are all counter-trend.



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I expect whipsaws. One reason is the count-trend nature of the rallies. Another is that I don't trust news euphoria, especially when the news was no surprise. I mean, did any sane person actually expect that the EU would fail to support the euro?

EUR/USD You are here
  • Reversal
    • US$1.4179,  +4.2%
    • US$1.4024, +3.1%
    • US$1.3817, +1.6%
  • Now US$1.3602
  • Reversal
    • US$1.3282, -2.4%
    • US$1.3266, -2.5%
EUR/CAD You are here
  • Reversal
    • C$1.4438, +6%
    • C$1.4103, +3.5%
    • C$1.3834, +1.5%
  • Now C$1.3625
  • Reversal
    • C$1.3340, -2.1%
EUR/GBP You are here
  • Reversal
    • £0.9149, +3.4%
    • £0.9032, +2.1%
  • Now £0.8845
  • Reversal
    • £0.8705, -1.6%
These signals will be followed in the daily Watchlist, which is posted beginning around 2:45 p.m. Eastern. Look for it at www.timbovee.com.

Abbreviations:
psar - Parabolic Stop and Reverse
adx - Average Directional Index
pps - Person's Proprietary Signal
ma20 - 20-day moving average
macd - Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
mfi - Money Flow Index
sto - Fast Stochastic
   

About the glance:  The colors indicate the state of each signal.

  • trend: Determined by the 5-day moving average, green for up, red for down, yellow for sideways
  • adx: orange for above 30-up, blue for 20-down, purple for in the middle. Red is most prone to whipsaws
  • psar, pps, macd: green for bull mode, red for bear
  • sto: green for overbought, red for oversold, yellow for the neutral zone.


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